Official temperature readings from New York City stations, including Central Park, confirmed a daily maximum of 86-87°F on June 4, 2026, driving the market's complete consensus on that outcome. This value exceeded typical early-June averages near 75-80°F yet remained below historical June 4 records around 95°F, consistent with National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing a warm but not extreme air mass under mostly clear conditions. Trader positioning reflects the final verified data rather than forecasts, as resolution depends on the highest official hourly or daily reading within defined geographic boundaries. Minor adjustments to station data or alternative measurement protocols represent the only realistic paths to a different bin, though such changes are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on June 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 4?
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$111,647 Vol.
$111,647 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$111,647 Vol.
$111,647 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
75°F or below
$296 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,041 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$4,241 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$17,069 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$20,788 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$23,179 Vol.
100%
88-89°F
$15,152 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$14,054 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$7,029 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$4,432 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature readings from New York City stations, including Central Park, confirmed a daily maximum of 86-87°F on June 4, 2026, driving the market's complete consensus on that outcome. This value exceeded typical early-June averages near 75-80°F yet remained below historical June 4 records around 95°F, consistent with National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing a warm but not extreme air mass under mostly clear conditions. Trader positioning reflects the final verified data rather than forecasts, as resolution depends on the highest official hourly or daily reading within defined geographic boundaries. Minor adjustments to station data or alternative measurement protocols represent the only realistic paths to a different bin, though such changes are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$111,647End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature readings from New York City stations, including Central Park, confirmed a daily maximum of 86-87°F on June 4, 2026, driving the market's complete consensus on that outcome. This value exceeded typical early-June averages near 75-80°F yet remained below historical June 4 records around 95°F, consistent with National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing a warm but not extreme air mass under mostly clear conditions. Trader positioning reflects the final verified data rather than forecasts, as resolution depends on the highest official hourly or daily reading within defined geographic boundaries. Minor adjustments to station data or alternative measurement protocols represent the only realistic paths to a different bin, though such changes are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$111,647End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature readings from New York City stations, including Central Park, confirmed a daily maximum of 86-87°F on June 4, 2026, driving the market's complete consensus on that outcome. This value exceeded typical early-June averages near 75-80°F yet remained below historical June 4 records around 95°F, consistent with National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing a warm but not extreme air mass under mostly clear conditions. Trader positioning reflects the final verified data rather than forecasts, as resolution depends on the highest official hourly or daily reading within defined geographic boundaries. Minor adjustments to station data or alternative measurement protocols represent the only realistic paths to a different bin, though such changes are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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