Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 12 °C for London on 5 June 2026, following the cooler, unsettled pattern that replaced May’s heatwave. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds supports this range, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 11–13 °C. Historical June climatology for central London places typical overnight lows at 11–12 °C, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting toward 12 °C. Any shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover overnight could nudge the observed minimum slightly lower, but current consensus keeps probabilities for outcomes below 11 °C minimal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 5?
Lowest temperature in London on June 5?
12°C 90%
11°C 8.4%
10°C 2.5%
9°C <1%
NEW
$24,610 Vol.
NEW
$24,610 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
83%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 90%
11°C 8.4%
10°C 2.5%
9°C <1%
NEW
$24,610 Vol.
NEW
$24,610 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
6°C or below
$3,580 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$888 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$4,232 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,002 Vol.
2%
11°C
$518 Vol.
12%
12°C
$853 Vol.
83%
13°C
$2,959 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,894 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$6,256 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 12 °C for London on 5 June 2026, following the cooler, unsettled pattern that replaced May’s heatwave. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds supports this range, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 11–13 °C. Historical June climatology for central London places typical overnight lows at 11–12 °C, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting toward 12 °C. Any shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover overnight could nudge the observed minimum slightly lower, but current consensus keeps probabilities for outcomes below 11 °C minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$24,610End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 12 °C for London on 5 June 2026, following the cooler, unsettled pattern that replaced May’s heatwave. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds supports this range, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 11–13 °C. Historical June climatology for central London places typical overnight lows at 11–12 °C, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting toward 12 °C. Any shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover overnight could nudge the observed minimum slightly lower, but current consensus keeps probabilities for outcomes below 11 °C minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,610End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 12 °C for London on 5 June 2026, following the cooler, unsettled pattern that replaced May’s heatwave. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds supports this range, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around 11–13 °C. Historical June climatology for central London places typical overnight lows at 11–12 °C, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting toward 12 °C. Any shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover overnight could nudge the observed minimum slightly lower, but current consensus keeps probabilities for outcomes below 11 °C minimal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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