Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul’s overnight low reaching 16°C on June 5 amid clear to partly cloudy conditions typical of early June before monsoon onset. Multiple numerical weather models align on this value, consistent with climatological baselines where June minima average near 18°C but can dip lower under light winds and radiative cooling. The near-98% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and limited forecast uncertainty at this lead time. A modest southward shift in the jet stream or localized urban heat-island effects could push the official minimum to 15°C or 17°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such deviations before final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
16°C 98.0%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
13°C <1%
NEW
$11,920 Vol.
NEW
$11,920 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 98.0%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
13°C <1%
NEW
$11,920 Vol.
NEW
$11,920 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
12°C or below
$1,898 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$762 Vol.
1%
14°C
$869 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,255 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,845 Vol.
98%
17°C
$2,661 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$980 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul’s overnight low reaching 16°C on June 5 amid clear to partly cloudy conditions typical of early June before monsoon onset. Multiple numerical weather models align on this value, consistent with climatological baselines where June minima average near 18°C but can dip lower under light winds and radiative cooling. The near-98% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and limited forecast uncertainty at this lead time. A modest southward shift in the jet stream or localized urban heat-island effects could push the official minimum to 15°C or 17°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such deviations before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$11,920End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul’s overnight low reaching 16°C on June 5 amid clear to partly cloudy conditions typical of early June before monsoon onset. Multiple numerical weather models align on this value, consistent with climatological baselines where June minima average near 18°C but can dip lower under light winds and radiative cooling. The near-98% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and limited forecast uncertainty at this lead time. A modest southward shift in the jet stream or localized urban heat-island effects could push the official minimum to 15°C or 17°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such deviations before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,920End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul’s overnight low reaching 16°C on June 5 amid clear to partly cloudy conditions typical of early June before monsoon onset. Multiple numerical weather models align on this value, consistent with climatological baselines where June minima average near 18°C but can dip lower under light winds and radiative cooling. The near-98% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and limited forecast uncertainty at this lead time. A modest southward shift in the jet stream or localized urban heat-island effects could push the official minimum to 15°C or 17°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such deviations before final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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