National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport on June 5 point to a daily high near 84–85°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and moderate northeast flow. These conditions, typical of early June climatology, limit solar heating and keep readings below the seasonal average of 86–88°F. Persistent atmospheric moisture and cloud cover have suppressed temperatures in recent days, aligning with the market’s 58.5% implied probability for the 84–85°F bin. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing remain the key variables that could shift readings into the 86–87°F range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on June 5?
84-85°F 59%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 12%
80-81°F 3.4%
$20,394 Vol.
$20,394 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
59%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 59%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 12%
80-81°F 3.4%
$20,394 Vol.
$20,394 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
59%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport on June 5 point to a daily high near 84–85°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and moderate northeast flow. These conditions, typical of early June climatology, limit solar heating and keep readings below the seasonal average of 86–88°F. Persistent atmospheric moisture and cloud cover have suppressed temperatures in recent days, aligning with the market’s 58.5% implied probability for the 84–85°F bin. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing remain the key variables that could shift readings into the 86–87°F range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions