Official forecasts for Istanbul on June 5 point to a daily maximum near 26–28 °C under early-summer conditions, with moderate northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and peak solar radiation around midday. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, reflecting typical June climatology where highs average 25–27 °C. Minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects can easily differentiate outcomes between 26 °C and 27 °C. With leading probabilities nearly even, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the final observed peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 18%
24°C 9.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
10%
25°C
18%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 18%
24°C 9.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 5, 2026
21°C or below
$345 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$826 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$954 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,846 Vol.
18%
26°C
$647 Vol.
32%
27°C
$840 Vol.
31%
28°C
$793 Vol.
8%
29°C
$420 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,258 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Istanbul on June 5 point to a daily maximum near 26–28 °C under early-summer conditions, with moderate northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and peak solar radiation around midday. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, reflecting typical June climatology where highs average 25–27 °C. Minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects can easily differentiate outcomes between 26 °C and 27 °C. With leading probabilities nearly even, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the final observed peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Volume
$9,485End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Istanbul on June 5 point to a daily maximum near 26–28 °C under early-summer conditions, with moderate northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and peak solar radiation around midday. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, reflecting typical June climatology where highs average 25–27 °C. Minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects can easily differentiate outcomes between 26 °C and 27 °C. With leading probabilities nearly even, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the final observed peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,485End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Istanbul on June 5 point to a daily maximum near 26–28 °C under early-summer conditions, with moderate northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and peak solar radiation around midday. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, reflecting typical June climatology where highs average 25–27 °C. Minor variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects can easily differentiate outcomes between 26 °C and 27 °C. With leading probabilities nearly even, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the final observed peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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