Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and European models indicate a daytime maximum of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible and moderate winds. These conditions align with climatological norms for early June, when average highs reach 18–20°C without significant heat anomalies or blocking high-pressure systems. Model consensus on modest instability and Atlantic flow supports the market’s concentration of implied probability on 17–19°C outcomes, with limited upside for 20°C+ absent warmer advection. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating will refine exact maxima before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 5?
18°C 46%
17°C 24%
19°C 22%
16°C 2.4%
$13,009 Vol.
$13,009 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
24%
18°C
46%
19°C
22%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
18°C 46%
17°C 24%
19°C 22%
16°C 2.4%
$13,009 Vol.
$13,009 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
24%
18°C
46%
19°C
22%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and European models indicate a daytime maximum of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible and moderate winds. These conditions align with climatological norms for early June, when average highs reach 18–20°C without significant heat anomalies or blocking high-pressure systems. Model consensus on modest instability and Atlantic flow supports the market’s concentration of implied probability on 17–19°C outcomes, with limited upside for 20°C+ absent warmer advection. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating will refine exact maxima before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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