The dominant market positioning at 66-67°F reflects the official minimum temperature recorded overnight on June 4 at the primary New York City observing station, consistent with National Weather Service climatological data. Early June conditions featured typical seasonal moderation with clear skies and light winds limiting radiative cooling, aligning with historical averages for the period rather than anomalous cold or heat. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporates the high reliability of these standardized measurements while acknowledging minor potential for post-event revisions in final reports. No major forecast shifts or model discrepancies altered expectations in the preceding days, and resolution hinges on the confirmed daily low without additional thresholds or geographic qualifiers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 4?
66-67°F 99.6%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
$92,780 Vol.
$92,780 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 99.6%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
$92,780 Vol.
$92,780 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market positioning at 66-67°F reflects the official minimum temperature recorded overnight on June 4 at the primary New York City observing station, consistent with National Weather Service climatological data. Early June conditions featured typical seasonal moderation with clear skies and light winds limiting radiative cooling, aligning with historical averages for the period rather than anomalous cold or heat. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporates the high reliability of these standardized measurements while acknowledging minor potential for post-event revisions in final reports. No major forecast shifts or model discrepancies altered expectations in the preceding days, and resolution hinges on the confirmed daily low without additional thresholds or geographic qualifiers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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