Recent European model guidance, including short-range runs from ECMWF and ARPA Lombardia, indicates a maximum temperature near 25–26 °C at Milan Malpensa under light easterly flow, scattered clouds, and a chance of brief showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early-June climatology for the Po Valley, where daily highs typically range 22–26 °C amid transitional spring-to-summer patterns. Trader consensus has concentrated on the 25 °C and 26 °C bins because model spreads remain narrow and no strong high-pressure setup or clear-sky surge has materialized to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded today, with any last-minute forecast adjustments or unexpected convective development the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 5?
25°C 50%
26°C 32%
24°C 11%
27°C 7%
$17,846 Vol.
$17,846 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
50%
26°C
32%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 50%
26°C 32%
24°C 11%
27°C 7%
$17,846 Vol.
$17,846 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
50%
26°C
32%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model guidance, including short-range runs from ECMWF and ARPA Lombardia, indicates a maximum temperature near 25–26 °C at Milan Malpensa under light easterly flow, scattered clouds, and a chance of brief showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early-June climatology for the Po Valley, where daily highs typically range 22–26 °C amid transitional spring-to-summer patterns. Trader consensus has concentrated on the 25 °C and 26 °C bins because model spreads remain narrow and no strong high-pressure setup or clear-sky surge has materialized to push readings higher. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded today, with any last-minute forecast adjustments or unexpected convective development the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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