The closely matched market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C reflect genuine uncertainty in official forecast guidance for Warsaw’s maximum temperature on June 5. Ensemble runs from European models show a warm air mass advecting into central Poland, supporting daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals of 22–24°C, while scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover introduce potential cooling that could cap readings at 24°C or lower. Key variables include the exact timing of any convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, both of which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Resolution will hinge on verified measurements from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management station network, with final data releases expected shortly after sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 5?
26°C 39%
25°C 34%
27°C 13.3%
24°C 13%
NUEVO
$21,715 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,715 Vol.
5 jun 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
13%
25°C
34%
26°C
39%
27°C
13%
28°C or higher
1%
26°C 39%
25°C 34%
27°C 13.3%
24°C 13%
NUEVO
$21,715 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,715 Vol.
5 jun 2026
18°C or below
$251 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$899 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,303 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,043 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,352 Vol.
13%
25°C
$2,978 Vol.
34%
26°C
$2,824 Vol.
39%
27°C
$2,548 Vol.
13%
28°C or higher
$4,078 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C reflect genuine uncertainty in official forecast guidance for Warsaw’s maximum temperature on June 5. Ensemble runs from European models show a warm air mass advecting into central Poland, supporting daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals of 22–24°C, while scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover introduce potential cooling that could cap readings at 24°C or lower. Key variables include the exact timing of any convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, both of which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Resolution will hinge on verified measurements from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management station network, with final data releases expected shortly after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volumen
$21,715Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C reflect genuine uncertainty in official forecast guidance for Warsaw’s maximum temperature on June 5. Ensemble runs from European models show a warm air mass advecting into central Poland, supporting daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals of 22–24°C, while scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover introduce potential cooling that could cap readings at 24°C or lower. Key variables include the exact timing of any convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, both of which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Resolution will hinge on verified measurements from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management station network, with final data releases expected shortly after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,715Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds for 25°C and 26°C reflect genuine uncertainty in official forecast guidance for Warsaw’s maximum temperature on June 5. Ensemble runs from European models show a warm air mass advecting into central Poland, supporting daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals of 22–24°C, while scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover introduce potential cooling that could cap readings at 24°C or lower. Key variables include the exact timing of any convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, both of which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Resolution will hinge on verified measurements from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management station network, with final data releases expected shortly after sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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