Current forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 22°C for Shanghai on June 5, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome and 16% for 21°C. Early June climatology in the region typically features overnight lows of 20–22°C amid transitional monsoon conditions, with no significant cold air intrusions or atypical pressure patterns observed in recent days. Official guidance shows stable steering flows and moderate humidity supporting these readings, consistent with historical baselines rather than extremes. Updated model runs through the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
22°C 80%
21°C 16%
24°C <1%
20°C <1%
NEW
$13,298 Vol.
NEW
$13,298 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
16%
22°C
80%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 80%
21°C 16%
24°C <1%
20°C <1%
NEW
$13,298 Vol.
NEW
$13,298 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
18°C or below
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,044 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$387 Vol.
1%
21°C
$651 Vol.
16%
22°C
$1,616 Vol.
80%
23°C
$1,901 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,527 Vol.
1%
25°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,307 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 22°C for Shanghai on June 5, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome and 16% for 21°C. Early June climatology in the region typically features overnight lows of 20–22°C amid transitional monsoon conditions, with no significant cold air intrusions or atypical pressure patterns observed in recent days. Official guidance shows stable steering flows and moderate humidity supporting these readings, consistent with historical baselines rather than extremes. Updated model runs through the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$13,298End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 22°C for Shanghai on June 5, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome and 16% for 21°C. Early June climatology in the region typically features overnight lows of 20–22°C amid transitional monsoon conditions, with no significant cold air intrusions or atypical pressure patterns observed in recent days. Official guidance shows stable steering flows and moderate humidity supporting these readings, consistent with historical baselines rather than extremes. Updated model runs through the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,298End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 22°C for Shanghai on June 5, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome and 16% for 21°C. Early June climatology in the region typically features overnight lows of 20–22°C amid transitional monsoon conditions, with no significant cold air intrusions or atypical pressure patterns observed in recent days. Official guidance shows stable steering flows and moderate humidity supporting these readings, consistent with historical baselines rather than extremes. Updated model runs through the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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