National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Miami International Airport on June 4 pointed to a daily maximum of 82–83°F amid persistent cloud cover and high atmospheric moisture that limited solar heating. These conditions suppressed temperatures well below the June climatological normal near 89°F and historical records approaching 96°F. Official observations aligned closely with this range, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin. A shift to 84–85°F would have required unexpected afternoon clearing and stronger insolation, while additional convective activity would have reinforced the lower outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on June 4?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$80,242 Vol.
$80,242 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$80,242 Vol.
$80,242 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Miami International Airport on June 4 pointed to a daily maximum of 82–83°F amid persistent cloud cover and high atmospheric moisture that limited solar heating. These conditions suppressed temperatures well below the June climatological normal near 89°F and historical records approaching 96°F. Official observations aligned closely with this range, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin. A shift to 84–85°F would have required unexpected afternoon clearing and stronger insolation, while additional convective activity would have reinforced the lower outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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