National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 indicate sunny skies and highs near 89°F at key stations like Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting trader consensus on 86°F or higher with 98% implied probability. This positioning stems from a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, light north winds around 5 mph limiting mixing, and morning temperatures already climbing from the low 70s under mostly clear skies. Model ensembles including GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on afternoon peaks of 87-91°F, consistent with mid-May climatological norms around 87°F. An Ozone Action Day alert underscores the stagnant, warm air mass. Realistic challenges include an unexpected Gulf breeze surge raising humidity and capping highs below 86°F, or isolated clouds developing, though upper-air patterns currently suppress such risks; next NWS update at 1 PM CDT will refine guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on May 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 14?
86°F or higher 98.0%
84-85°F 1.5%
82-83°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
NEW
$12,358 Vol.
NEW
$12,358 Vol.
May 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
98%
86°F or higher 98.0%
84-85°F 1.5%
82-83°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
NEW
$12,358 Vol.
NEW
$12,358 Vol.
May 14, 2026
67°F or below
$814 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$375 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$764 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,477 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$654 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$380 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$327 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$368 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$378 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$846 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$975 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 indicate sunny skies and highs near 89°F at key stations like Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting trader consensus on 86°F or higher with 98% implied probability. This positioning stems from a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, light north winds around 5 mph limiting mixing, and morning temperatures already climbing from the low 70s under mostly clear skies. Model ensembles including GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on afternoon peaks of 87-91°F, consistent with mid-May climatological norms around 87°F. An Ozone Action Day alert underscores the stagnant, warm air mass. Realistic challenges include an unexpected Gulf breeze surge raising humidity and capping highs below 86°F, or isolated clouds developing, though upper-air patterns currently suppress such risks; next NWS update at 1 PM CDT will refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Volume
$12,358End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 indicate sunny skies and highs near 89°F at key stations like Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting trader consensus on 86°F or higher with 98% implied probability. This positioning stems from a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, light north winds around 5 mph limiting mixing, and morning temperatures already climbing from the low 70s under mostly clear skies. Model ensembles including GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on afternoon peaks of 87-91°F, consistent with mid-May climatological norms around 87°F. An Ozone Action Day alert underscores the stagnant, warm air mass. Realistic challenges include an unexpected Gulf breeze surge raising humidity and capping highs below 86°F, or isolated clouds developing, though upper-air patterns currently suppress such risks; next NWS update at 1 PM CDT will refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,358End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 indicate sunny skies and highs near 89°F at key stations like Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting trader consensus on 86°F or higher with 98% implied probability. This positioning stems from a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, light north winds around 5 mph limiting mixing, and morning temperatures already climbing from the low 70s under mostly clear skies. Model ensembles including GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on afternoon peaks of 87-91°F, consistent with mid-May climatological norms around 87°F. An Ozone Action Day alert underscores the stagnant, warm air mass. Realistic challenges include an unexpected Gulf breeze surge raising humidity and capping highs below 86°F, or isolated clouds developing, though upper-air patterns currently suppress such risks; next NWS update at 1 PM CDT will refine guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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