Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station today, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast projecting a daytime maximum around 13°C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and potential thunderstorms. Observations early this morning recorded just 6–8°C with occasional rain and high humidity near 93%, under a cool northerly to westerly airflow that limits warming. Persistent instability and 90% precipitation probability cap peak heating, with model runs like those from ECMWF and national nowcasts converging on 11–13°C highs—below May's climatological average of 17°C—due to frequent buien suppressing surface temperatures. Hourly observations through afternoon will refine resolution, as brief sunny breaks could nudge toward 13°C or prolonged rain toward 11°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
12°C 47%
11°C 35%
13°C 9%
10°C 7.2%
NEW
$18,750 Vol.
NEW
$18,750 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
35%
12°C
47%
13°C
9%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 47%
11°C 35%
13°C 9%
10°C 7.2%
NEW
$18,750 Vol.
NEW
$18,750 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
$2,840 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$947 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$969 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,688 Vol.
7%
11°C
$2,325 Vol.
35%
12°C
$2,724 Vol.
47%
13°C
$1,396 Vol.
9%
14°C
$2,075 Vol.
5%
15°C
$1,269 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,590 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station today, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast projecting a daytime maximum around 13°C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and potential thunderstorms. Observations early this morning recorded just 6–8°C with occasional rain and high humidity near 93%, under a cool northerly to westerly airflow that limits warming. Persistent instability and 90% precipitation probability cap peak heating, with model runs like those from ECMWF and national nowcasts converging on 11–13°C highs—below May's climatological average of 17°C—due to frequent buien suppressing surface temperatures. Hourly observations through afternoon will refine resolution, as brief sunny breaks could nudge toward 13°C or prolonged rain toward 11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$18,750End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station today, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast projecting a daytime maximum around 13°C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and potential thunderstorms. Observations early this morning recorded just 6–8°C with occasional rain and high humidity near 93%, under a cool northerly to westerly airflow that limits warming. Persistent instability and 90% precipitation probability cap peak heating, with model runs like those from ECMWF and national nowcasts converging on 11–13°C highs—below May's climatological average of 17°C—due to frequent buien suppressing surface temperatures. Hourly observations through afternoon will refine resolution, as brief sunny breaks could nudge toward 13°C or prolonged rain toward 11°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,750End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station today, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast projecting a daytime maximum around 13°C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and potential thunderstorms. Observations early this morning recorded just 6–8°C with occasional rain and high humidity near 93%, under a cool northerly to westerly airflow that limits warming. Persistent instability and 90% precipitation probability cap peak heating, with model runs like those from ECMWF and national nowcasts converging on 11–13°C highs—below May's climatological average of 17°C—due to frequent buien suppressing surface temperatures. Hourly observations through afternoon will refine resolution, as brief sunny breaks could nudge toward 13°C or prolonged rain toward 11°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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