Observed precipitation totals at London Heathrow Airport and other official Met Office gauges stand at just 4.6mm for April 2026 to date, positioning it as the tied third-driest April on record and well under the long-term average of around 45mm. Environment Agency reports confirm southeast England, including London, received only 5mm by mid-month—11% of normal—with a persistent dry spell exceeding 14 days from mid-April amid high-pressure blocking and easterly winds suppressing Atlantic moisture. Trader consensus at 98.2% for under 20mm reflects this overwhelming observational evidence, backed by skin-in-the-game wagers. Realistic challenges would require an improbable >15mm deluge on the final day, contrary to current dry forecasts from the Met Office. Final gauge readings expected within days will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Londres en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Londres en abril?
<20mm 98.2%
20-30mm 2.7%
30-40mm <1%
50-60mm <1%
$23,157 Vol.
$23,157 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<20mm
98%
20-30mm
3%
30-40mm
1%
40-50mm
<1%
50-60mm
<1%
60-70mm
<1%
70mm+
<1%
<20mm 98.2%
20-30mm 2.7%
30-40mm <1%
50-60mm <1%
$23,157 Vol.
$23,157 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<20mm
$6,126 Vol.
98%
20-30mm
$2,589 Vol.
3%
30-40mm
$2,379 Vol.
1%
40-50mm
$3,290 Vol.
<1%
50-60mm
$4,155 Vol.
<1%
60-70mm
$2,131 Vol.
<1%
70mm+
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed precipitation totals at London Heathrow Airport and other official Met Office gauges stand at just 4.6mm for April 2026 to date, positioning it as the tied third-driest April on record and well under the long-term average of around 45mm. Environment Agency reports confirm southeast England, including London, received only 5mm by mid-month—11% of normal—with a persistent dry spell exceeding 14 days from mid-April amid high-pressure blocking and easterly winds suppressing Atlantic moisture. Trader consensus at 98.2% for under 20mm reflects this overwhelming observational evidence, backed by skin-in-the-game wagers. Realistic challenges would require an improbable >15mm deluge on the final day, contrary to current dry forecasts from the Met Office. Final gauge readings expected within days will resolve the market.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$23,157Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed precipitation totals at London Heathrow Airport and other official Met Office gauges stand at just 4.6mm for April 2026 to date, positioning it as the tied third-driest April on record and well under the long-term average of around 45mm. Environment Agency reports confirm southeast England, including London, received only 5mm by mid-month—11% of normal—with a persistent dry spell exceeding 14 days from mid-April amid high-pressure blocking and easterly winds suppressing Atlantic moisture. Trader consensus at 98.2% for under 20mm reflects this overwhelming observational evidence, backed by skin-in-the-game wagers. Realistic challenges would require an improbable >15mm deluge on the final day, contrary to current dry forecasts from the Met Office. Final gauge readings expected within days will resolve the market.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,157Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Observed precipitation totals at London Heathrow Airport and other official Met Office gauges stand at just 4.6mm for April 2026 to date, positioning it as the tied third-driest April on record and well under the long-term average of around 45mm. Environment Agency reports confirm southeast England, including London, received only 5mm by mid-month—11% of normal—with a persistent dry spell exceeding 14 days from mid-April amid high-pressure blocking and easterly winds suppressing Atlantic moisture. Trader consensus at 98.2% for under 20mm reflects this overwhelming observational evidence, backed by skin-in-the-game wagers. Realistic challenges would require an improbable >15mm deluge on the final day, contrary to current dry forecasts from the Met Office. Final gauge readings expected within days will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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