Observed Met Office measurements at Heathrow Airport, the market's resolution source, record just 3-5mm of total precipitation through April 2026—among the lowest on record and only 8% of the 42mm long-term average—driven by persistent high-pressure systems delivering prolonged dry, settled conditions with minimal light rain events early and late in the month. This scientific evidence underpins the 97.8% trader consensus for under 20mm, reflecting real-money bets on finalized data showing negligible accumulation even after recent zero-rainfall days. Only an unforeseen deluge exceeding 15mm on April 30 could challenge this, though current forecast models from the Met Office indicate clear skies and low precipitation risk, with monthly totals due post-resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Londres en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Londres en abril?
<20mm 97.7%
20-30mm 1.4%
30-40mm <1%
60-70mm <1%
$23,157 Vol.
$23,157 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<20mm
98%
20-30mm
1%
30-40mm
1%
40-50mm
<1%
50-60mm
<1%
60-70mm
1%
70mm+
<1%
<20mm 97.7%
20-30mm 1.4%
30-40mm <1%
60-70mm <1%
$23,157 Vol.
$23,157 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<20mm
$6,126 Vol.
98%
20-30mm
$2,589 Vol.
1%
30-40mm
$2,379 Vol.
1%
40-50mm
$3,290 Vol.
<1%
50-60mm
$4,155 Vol.
<1%
60-70mm
$2,131 Vol.
1%
70mm+
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed Met Office measurements at Heathrow Airport, the market's resolution source, record just 3-5mm of total precipitation through April 2026—among the lowest on record and only 8% of the 42mm long-term average—driven by persistent high-pressure systems delivering prolonged dry, settled conditions with minimal light rain events early and late in the month. This scientific evidence underpins the 97.8% trader consensus for under 20mm, reflecting real-money bets on finalized data showing negligible accumulation even after recent zero-rainfall days. Only an unforeseen deluge exceeding 15mm on April 30 could challenge this, though current forecast models from the Met Office indicate clear skies and low precipitation risk, with monthly totals due post-resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$23,157Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed Met Office measurements at Heathrow Airport, the market's resolution source, record just 3-5mm of total precipitation through April 2026—among the lowest on record and only 8% of the 42mm long-term average—driven by persistent high-pressure systems delivering prolonged dry, settled conditions with minimal light rain events early and late in the month. This scientific evidence underpins the 97.8% trader consensus for under 20mm, reflecting real-money bets on finalized data showing negligible accumulation even after recent zero-rainfall days. Only an unforeseen deluge exceeding 15mm on April 30 could challenge this, though current forecast models from the Met Office indicate clear skies and low precipitation risk, with monthly totals due post-resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,157Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Observed Met Office measurements at Heathrow Airport, the market's resolution source, record just 3-5mm of total precipitation through April 2026—among the lowest on record and only 8% of the 42mm long-term average—driven by persistent high-pressure systems delivering prolonged dry, settled conditions with minimal light rain events early and late in the month. This scientific evidence underpins the 97.8% trader consensus for under 20mm, reflecting real-money bets on finalized data showing negligible accumulation even after recent zero-rainfall days. Only an unforeseen deluge exceeding 15mm on April 30 could challenge this, though current forecast models from the Met Office indicate clear skies and low precipitation risk, with monthly totals due post-resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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