Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 16°C for Shanghai on May 2 under overcast skies with light to moderate rain, aligning with the 36% trader consensus while nearby outcomes at 15°C (22%) and 14°C (21.5%) capture model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours. Persistent cloud cover will suppress radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early May climatology where daily lows average 16°C amid the urban heat island effect elevating readings at Xujiahui station. No major shifts occurred yesterday, as May 1's low also hit 16°C; uncertainty stems from precipitation timing and intensity, with hourly observations resolving the market as the date unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 2 de mayo?
15°C 52%
17°C 30%
14°C 24%
16°C 15%
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
24%
15°C
43%
16°C
15%
17°C
30%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
1%
15°C 52%
17°C 30%
14°C 24%
16°C 15%
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
24%
15°C
43%
16°C
15%
17°C
30%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 16°C for Shanghai on May 2 under overcast skies with light to moderate rain, aligning with the 36% trader consensus while nearby outcomes at 15°C (22%) and 14°C (21.5%) capture model ensemble spread from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours. Persistent cloud cover will suppress radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early May climatology where daily lows average 16°C amid the urban heat island effect elevating readings at Xujiahui station. No major shifts occurred yesterday, as May 1's low also hit 16°C; uncertainty stems from precipitation timing and intensity, with hourly observations resolving the market as the date unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes