Official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a minimum temperature of 10°C around 2–5:30 a.m. local time on May 1, anchoring trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-dawn ensemble forecasts from China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models projecting lows near 10°C amid a recent cool air mass influx, southerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that curtailed radiational cooling. Typical May minima hover 15–16°C, but today's synoptic setup—high-pressure ridging post-frontal passage—yielded this dip. With daytime warming underway (highs nearing 26°C), further declines are improbable barring anomalous clear skies overnight into May 2.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 1?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 1?
10°C 99.8%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$9,353 Vol.
$9,353 Vol.
1 may 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
10°C 99.8%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$9,353 Vol.
$9,353 Vol.
1 may 2026
7°C or below
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$816 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,290 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,491 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a minimum temperature of 10°C around 2–5:30 a.m. local time on May 1, anchoring trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-dawn ensemble forecasts from China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models projecting lows near 10°C amid a recent cool air mass influx, southerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that curtailed radiational cooling. Typical May minima hover 15–16°C, but today's synoptic setup—high-pressure ridging post-frontal passage—yielded this dip. With daytime warming underway (highs nearing 26°C), further declines are improbable barring anomalous clear skies overnight into May 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$9,353Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a minimum temperature of 10°C around 2–5:30 a.m. local time on May 1, anchoring trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-dawn ensemble forecasts from China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models projecting lows near 10°C amid a recent cool air mass influx, southerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that curtailed radiational cooling. Typical May minima hover 15–16°C, but today's synoptic setup—high-pressure ridging post-frontal passage—yielded this dip. With daytime warming underway (highs nearing 26°C), further declines are improbable barring anomalous clear skies overnight into May 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,353Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a minimum temperature of 10°C around 2–5:30 a.m. local time on May 1, anchoring trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-dawn ensemble forecasts from China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models projecting lows near 10°C amid a recent cool air mass influx, southerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that curtailed radiational cooling. Typical May minima hover 15–16°C, but today's synoptic setup—high-pressure ridging post-frontal passage—yielded this dip. With daytime warming underway (highs nearing 26°C), further declines are improbable barring anomalous clear skies overnight into May 2.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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