Latest National Weather Service observations at Central Park show morning temperatures holding steady near 48°F under fair skies and light winds, aligning with NOAA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF that cluster the day's lowest temperature tightly in the 48-49°F range. This positioning stems from a lingering cool upper trough over the Northeast from late April, which has suppressed early-May lows below the climatological average of around 51°F at nearby stations. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this robust model agreement and real-time data, though realistic challenges could include unexpected increases in low-level clouds reducing radiative cooling to nudge it toward 46-47°F, or diurnal mixing pushing it slightly higher—final resolution awaits official daily minimum from the automated station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in NYC on May 1?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 1?
48-49°F 98.2%
44-45°F 2.1%
46-47°F 1.5%
42-43°F <1%
$25,388 Vol.
$25,388 Vol.
1 may 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
98%
48-49°F 98.2%
44-45°F 2.1%
46-47°F 1.5%
42-43°F <1%
$25,388 Vol.
$25,388 Vol.
1 may 2026
37°F or below
$14,747 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$1,799 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$746 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$567 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$947 Vol.
2%
46-47°F
$1,257 Vol.
2%
48-49°F
$1,011 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service observations at Central Park show morning temperatures holding steady near 48°F under fair skies and light winds, aligning with NOAA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF that cluster the day's lowest temperature tightly in the 48-49°F range. This positioning stems from a lingering cool upper trough over the Northeast from late April, which has suppressed early-May lows below the climatological average of around 51°F at nearby stations. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this robust model agreement and real-time data, though realistic challenges could include unexpected increases in low-level clouds reducing radiative cooling to nudge it toward 46-47°F, or diurnal mixing pushing it slightly higher—final resolution awaits official daily minimum from the automated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$25,388Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service observations at Central Park show morning temperatures holding steady near 48°F under fair skies and light winds, aligning with NOAA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF that cluster the day's lowest temperature tightly in the 48-49°F range. This positioning stems from a lingering cool upper trough over the Northeast from late April, which has suppressed early-May lows below the climatological average of around 51°F at nearby stations. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this robust model agreement and real-time data, though realistic challenges could include unexpected increases in low-level clouds reducing radiative cooling to nudge it toward 46-47°F, or diurnal mixing pushing it slightly higher—final resolution awaits official daily minimum from the automated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,388Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service observations at Central Park show morning temperatures holding steady near 48°F under fair skies and light winds, aligning with NOAA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF that cluster the day's lowest temperature tightly in the 48-49°F range. This positioning stems from a lingering cool upper trough over the Northeast from late April, which has suppressed early-May lows below the climatological average of around 51°F at nearby stations. Trader consensus at 97.5% reflects this robust model agreement and real-time data, though realistic challenges could include unexpected increases in low-level clouds reducing radiative cooling to nudge it toward 46-47°F, or diurnal mixing pushing it slightly higher—final resolution awaits official daily minimum from the automated station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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