Trader consensus clusters around 48-51°F for New York City's Central Park low temperature on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a partly cloudy night with northwest winds at 5-10 mph and a low near 48°F amid a cool post-frontal air mass. The tight race between 50-51°F (25.5% implied probability) and 48-49°F (20%) stems from model ensemble spread—GFS and NAM runs diverge by 2-3°F due to uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, which could enhance radiative cooling or retain residual daytime heat from today's 64°F high. Light lingering moisture raises slight shower risks, potentially warming lows, while climatological May 2 averages hover near 50°F. Watch evening model updates and tomorrow's 00Z guidance for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in NYC on May 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 2?
50-51°F 25.3%
48-49°F 24%
52-53°F 13%
46-47°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
4%
46-47°F
10%
48-49°F
26%
50-51°F
25%
52-53°F
13%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
1%
50-51°F 25.3%
48-49°F 24%
52-53°F 13%
46-47°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
39°F or below
$327 Vol.
1%
40-41°F
$258 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$613 Vol.
2%
44-45°F
$125 Vol.
4%
46-47°F
$151 Vol.
10%
48-49°F
$118 Vol.
26%
50-51°F
$243 Vol.
25%
52-53°F
$56 Vol.
13%
54-55°F
$71 Vol.
7%
56-57°F
$515 Vol.
1%
58°F or higher
$698 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 48-51°F for New York City's Central Park low temperature on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a partly cloudy night with northwest winds at 5-10 mph and a low near 48°F amid a cool post-frontal air mass. The tight race between 50-51°F (25.5% implied probability) and 48-49°F (20%) stems from model ensemble spread—GFS and NAM runs diverge by 2-3°F due to uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, which could enhance radiative cooling or retain residual daytime heat from today's 64°F high. Light lingering moisture raises slight shower risks, potentially warming lows, while climatological May 2 averages hover near 50°F. Watch evening model updates and tomorrow's 00Z guidance for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$3,174Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 48-51°F for New York City's Central Park low temperature on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a partly cloudy night with northwest winds at 5-10 mph and a low near 48°F amid a cool post-frontal air mass. The tight race between 50-51°F (25.5% implied probability) and 48-49°F (20%) stems from model ensemble spread—GFS and NAM runs diverge by 2-3°F due to uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, which could enhance radiative cooling or retain residual daytime heat from today's 64°F high. Light lingering moisture raises slight shower risks, potentially warming lows, while climatological May 2 averages hover near 50°F. Watch evening model updates and tomorrow's 00Z guidance for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,174Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 48-51°F for New York City's Central Park low temperature on May 2, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a partly cloudy night with northwest winds at 5-10 mph and a low near 48°F amid a cool post-frontal air mass. The tight race between 50-51°F (25.5% implied probability) and 48-49°F (20%) stems from model ensemble spread—GFS and NAM runs diverge by 2-3°F due to uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, which could enhance radiative cooling or retain residual daytime heat from today's 64°F high. Light lingering moisture raises slight shower risks, potentially warming lows, while climatological May 2 averages hover near 50°F. Watch evening model updates and tomorrow's 00Z guidance for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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