Met Office's latest short-range forecasts project London's lowest temperature on May 5 at around 7–9°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 8°C at 40% implied probability amid a cooling trend from recent mild conditions (May 2 low of 11°C). Northerly winds ushering cooler continental air, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, limit daytime heating (max ~17–18°C) while capping nocturnal radiational cooling, positioning outcomes near 8°C as frontrunners over warmer 14°C+ (22%) or colder 6°C (18%). Ensemble model runs show 1–2°C uncertainty due to variable cloud persistence; watch tomorrow's 12Z updates from the UKV model for refinements ahead of resolution using official Heathrow observations. Typical early-May minima average 8°C historically, reinforcing current positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 5 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 5 de mayo?
10°C 30%
9°C 14%
11°C 12%
8°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 may 2026
4°C o menos
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
6%
8°C
11%
9°C
26%
10°C
30%
11°C
12%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C o más
1%
10°C 30%
9°C 14%
11°C 12%
8°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 may 2026
4°C o menos
$277 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$233 Vol.
1%
6°C
$25 Vol.
3%
7°C
$113 Vol.
6%
8°C
$35 Vol.
11%
9°C
$21 Vol.
26%
10°C
$26 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
12%
12°C
$16 Vol.
2%
13°C
$256 Vol.
1%
14°C o más
$344 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest short-range forecasts project London's lowest temperature on May 5 at around 7–9°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 8°C at 40% implied probability amid a cooling trend from recent mild conditions (May 2 low of 11°C). Northerly winds ushering cooler continental air, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, limit daytime heating (max ~17–18°C) while capping nocturnal radiational cooling, positioning outcomes near 8°C as frontrunners over warmer 14°C+ (22%) or colder 6°C (18%). Ensemble model runs show 1–2°C uncertainty due to variable cloud persistence; watch tomorrow's 12Z updates from the UKV model for refinements ahead of resolution using official Heathrow observations. Typical early-May minima average 8°C historically, reinforcing current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$1,346Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest short-range forecasts project London's lowest temperature on May 5 at around 7–9°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 8°C at 40% implied probability amid a cooling trend from recent mild conditions (May 2 low of 11°C). Northerly winds ushering cooler continental air, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, limit daytime heating (max ~17–18°C) while capping nocturnal radiational cooling, positioning outcomes near 8°C as frontrunners over warmer 14°C+ (22%) or colder 6°C (18%). Ensemble model runs show 1–2°C uncertainty due to variable cloud persistence; watch tomorrow's 12Z updates from the UKV model for refinements ahead of resolution using official Heathrow observations. Typical early-May minima average 8°C historically, reinforcing current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,346Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office's latest short-range forecasts project London's lowest temperature on May 5 at around 7–9°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 8°C at 40% implied probability amid a cooling trend from recent mild conditions (May 2 low of 11°C). Northerly winds ushering cooler continental air, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, limit daytime heating (max ~17–18°C) while capping nocturnal radiational cooling, positioning outcomes near 8°C as frontrunners over warmer 14°C+ (22%) or colder 6°C (18%). Ensemble model runs show 1–2°C uncertainty due to variable cloud persistence; watch tomorrow's 12Z updates from the UKV model for refinements ahead of resolution using official Heathrow observations. Typical early-May minima average 8°C historically, reinforcing current positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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