Trader consensus favors an 11°C low at 33% implied probability for May 2 in London, aligning with the Met Office's latest hourly forecast showing overnight minima dipping to 11°C around dawn under sunny intervals, light southwest winds calming to 3-4 mph, and high humidity near 92%. This positioning stems from the May 1 morning update, which refined earlier projections amid a mild Atlantic pattern bringing gradual western cloud incursions but clear enough skies for radiative cooling at London City Airport, the market's resolution site via Wunderground. Uncertainty persists in the fragmented odds—12°C (17%) and 10°C (16%) viable due to potential urban heat island buffering or minor shower spillover raising cloud cover—typical for short-fuse forecasts where ECMWF and UKV models diverge by 1-2°C. Watch afternoon rain probabilities (up to 30%) and evening visibility for overnight clarity shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 2 de mayo?
11°C 34%
10°C 18%
12°C 12%
9°C 8.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
5°C o menos
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
8%
10°C
27%
11°C
34%
12°C
25%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C o más
1%
11°C 34%
10°C 18%
12°C 12%
9°C 8.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
5°C o menos
$275 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$147 Vol.
1%
7°C
$265 Vol.
1%
8°C
$83 Vol.
1%
9°C
$163 Vol.
8%
10°C
$61 Vol.
27%
11°C
$123 Vol.
34%
12°C
$184 Vol.
25%
13°C
$342 Vol.
2%
14°C
$449 Vol.
1%
15°C o más
$417 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors an 11°C low at 33% implied probability for May 2 in London, aligning with the Met Office's latest hourly forecast showing overnight minima dipping to 11°C around dawn under sunny intervals, light southwest winds calming to 3-4 mph, and high humidity near 92%. This positioning stems from the May 1 morning update, which refined earlier projections amid a mild Atlantic pattern bringing gradual western cloud incursions but clear enough skies for radiative cooling at London City Airport, the market's resolution site via Wunderground. Uncertainty persists in the fragmented odds—12°C (17%) and 10°C (16%) viable due to potential urban heat island buffering or minor shower spillover raising cloud cover—typical for short-fuse forecasts where ECMWF and UKV models diverge by 1-2°C. Watch afternoon rain probabilities (up to 30%) and evening visibility for overnight clarity shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$2,509Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors an 11°C low at 33% implied probability for May 2 in London, aligning with the Met Office's latest hourly forecast showing overnight minima dipping to 11°C around dawn under sunny intervals, light southwest winds calming to 3-4 mph, and high humidity near 92%. This positioning stems from the May 1 morning update, which refined earlier projections amid a mild Atlantic pattern bringing gradual western cloud incursions but clear enough skies for radiative cooling at London City Airport, the market's resolution site via Wunderground. Uncertainty persists in the fragmented odds—12°C (17%) and 10°C (16%) viable due to potential urban heat island buffering or minor shower spillover raising cloud cover—typical for short-fuse forecasts where ECMWF and UKV models diverge by 1-2°C. Watch afternoon rain probabilities (up to 30%) and evening visibility for overnight clarity shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,509Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors an 11°C low at 33% implied probability for May 2 in London, aligning with the Met Office's latest hourly forecast showing overnight minima dipping to 11°C around dawn under sunny intervals, light southwest winds calming to 3-4 mph, and high humidity near 92%. This positioning stems from the May 1 morning update, which refined earlier projections amid a mild Atlantic pattern bringing gradual western cloud incursions but clear enough skies for radiative cooling at London City Airport, the market's resolution site via Wunderground. Uncertainty persists in the fragmented odds—12°C (17%) and 10°C (16%) viable due to potential urban heat island buffering or minor shower spillover raising cloud cover—typical for short-fuse forecasts where ECMWF and UKV models diverge by 1-2°C. Watch afternoon rain probabilities (up to 30%) and evening visibility for overnight clarity shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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