Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (34.5%) and 10°C (32.0%) for London's lowest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated April 30 afternoon, projecting a minimum of 11°C amid sunny mornings turning hazy with increasing evening cloud and light southeast winds (5-10 mph gusting 21 mph). This reflects model agreement on highs near 25°C under a high-pressure ridge but uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling—clearer skies could dip to 10°C, while persistent haze or urban heat island effects hold at 11°C. BBC Weather aligns at 11°C low around 5am, with 30% shower risk; key differentiator is cloud cover evolution, as light winds minimize mixing. Final station data (e.g., Heathrow) resolves tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 1 de mayo?
10°C 34%
11°C 28%
9°C 21%
12°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
3°C o menos
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
21%
10°C
34%
11°C
35%
12°C
20%
13°C o más
5%
10°C 34%
11°C 28%
9°C 21%
12°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
3°C o menos
$202 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$156 Vol.
1%
6°C
$722 Vol.
1%
7°C
$319 Vol.
1%
8°C
$215 Vol.
1%
9°C
$80 Vol.
21%
10°C
$107 Vol.
34%
11°C
$270 Vol.
35%
12°C
$118 Vol.
20%
13°C o más
$777 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (34.5%) and 10°C (32.0%) for London's lowest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated April 30 afternoon, projecting a minimum of 11°C amid sunny mornings turning hazy with increasing evening cloud and light southeast winds (5-10 mph gusting 21 mph). This reflects model agreement on highs near 25°C under a high-pressure ridge but uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling—clearer skies could dip to 10°C, while persistent haze or urban heat island effects hold at 11°C. BBC Weather aligns at 11°C low around 5am, with 30% shower risk; key differentiator is cloud cover evolution, as light winds minimize mixing. Final station data (e.g., Heathrow) resolves tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$3,163Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (34.5%) and 10°C (32.0%) for London's lowest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated April 30 afternoon, projecting a minimum of 11°C amid sunny mornings turning hazy with increasing evening cloud and light southeast winds (5-10 mph gusting 21 mph). This reflects model agreement on highs near 25°C under a high-pressure ridge but uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling—clearer skies could dip to 10°C, while persistent haze or urban heat island effects hold at 11°C. BBC Weather aligns at 11°C low around 5am, with 30% shower risk; key differentiator is cloud cover evolution, as light winds minimize mixing. Final station data (e.g., Heathrow) resolves tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,163Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (34.5%) and 10°C (32.0%) for London's lowest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated April 30 afternoon, projecting a minimum of 11°C amid sunny mornings turning hazy with increasing evening cloud and light southeast winds (5-10 mph gusting 21 mph). This reflects model agreement on highs near 25°C under a high-pressure ridge but uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling—clearer skies could dip to 10°C, while persistent haze or urban heat island effects hold at 11°C. BBC Weather aligns at 11°C low around 5am, with 30% shower risk; key differentiator is cloud cover evolution, as light winds minimize mixing. Final station data (e.g., Heathrow) resolves tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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