Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicate an overnight low of 11°C for London on May 1, aligning with the 39% market-implied probability as traders price in radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph, which limit temperature drops via reduced mixing. Recent observations on April 30 show daytime highs near 21°C with sunny conditions and minimal cloud, sustaining this mild high-pressure pattern into early May, warmer than the climatological average low of around 9°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles support this consensus, though evening showers (30% risk) could boost cloud cover and lift lows toward 12°C (21% odds), while drier skies favor 10°C (26%). Final updates expected before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 1 de mayo?
11°C 59%
10°C 21%
12°C 21%
9°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
3°C o menos
1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
25%
10°C
29%
11°C
48%
12°C
21%
13°C o más
5%
11°C 59%
10°C 21%
12°C 21%
9°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
3°C o menos
$387 Vol.
1%
4°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$401 Vol.
1%
6°C
$1,002 Vol.
1%
7°C
$469 Vol.
1%
8°C
$546 Vol.
1%
9°C
$108 Vol.
25%
10°C
$172 Vol.
29%
11°C
$370 Vol.
48%
12°C
$178 Vol.
21%
13°C o más
$1,417 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicate an overnight low of 11°C for London on May 1, aligning with the 39% market-implied probability as traders price in radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph, which limit temperature drops via reduced mixing. Recent observations on April 30 show daytime highs near 21°C with sunny conditions and minimal cloud, sustaining this mild high-pressure pattern into early May, warmer than the climatological average low of around 9°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles support this consensus, though evening showers (30% risk) could boost cloud cover and lift lows toward 12°C (21% odds), while drier skies favor 10°C (26%). Final updates expected before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$5,239Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicate an overnight low of 11°C for London on May 1, aligning with the 39% market-implied probability as traders price in radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph, which limit temperature drops via reduced mixing. Recent observations on April 30 show daytime highs near 21°C with sunny conditions and minimal cloud, sustaining this mild high-pressure pattern into early May, warmer than the climatological average low of around 9°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles support this consensus, though evening showers (30% risk) could boost cloud cover and lift lows toward 12°C (21% odds), while drier skies favor 10°C (26%). Final updates expected before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,239Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts indicate an overnight low of 11°C for London on May 1, aligning with the 39% market-implied probability as traders price in radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph, which limit temperature drops via reduced mixing. Recent observations on April 30 show daytime highs near 21°C with sunny conditions and minimal cloud, sustaining this mild high-pressure pattern into early May, warmer than the climatological average low of around 9°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles support this consensus, though evening showers (30% risk) could boost cloud cover and lift lows toward 12°C (21% odds), while drier skies favor 10°C (26%). Final updates expected before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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