The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on May 1, projects a lowest temperature of 23°C on May 3 amid mainly cloudy conditions, showers, and squally thunderstorms as a cold front from central China crosses southern China, shifting winds from southerly to northerly force 4-5 later in the day. This aligns with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 22.5% implied probability, while nearby 21–24°C options reflect uncertainty in nighttime radiative cooling suppressed by high humidity (70–95%) and cloud cover versus potential post-frontal drying. Global models like GFS show slightly lower lows around 21°C in some runs, but HKO's multi-model consensus favors 23°C given May's typical urban heat island effect and seasonal normal-to-above-normal temperatures; watch for the 16:30 HKT update and May 2 observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 3 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 3 de mayo?
23°C 33%
21°C 30%
22°C 17%
24°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
15°C o menos
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
26%
24°C
16%
25°C o más
10%
23°C 33%
21°C 30%
22°C 17%
24°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
15°C o menos
$64 Vol.
1%
16°C
$587 Vol.
1%
17°C
$456 Vol.
1%
18°C
$420 Vol.
1%
19°C
$311 Vol.
1%
20°C
$122 Vol.
2%
21°C
$3 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
17%
23°C
$14 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C o más
$19 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on May 1, projects a lowest temperature of 23°C on May 3 amid mainly cloudy conditions, showers, and squally thunderstorms as a cold front from central China crosses southern China, shifting winds from southerly to northerly force 4-5 later in the day. This aligns with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 22.5% implied probability, while nearby 21–24°C options reflect uncertainty in nighttime radiative cooling suppressed by high humidity (70–95%) and cloud cover versus potential post-frontal drying. Global models like GFS show slightly lower lows around 21°C in some runs, but HKO's multi-model consensus favors 23°C given May's typical urban heat island effect and seasonal normal-to-above-normal temperatures; watch for the 16:30 HKT update and May 2 observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,988Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on May 1, projects a lowest temperature of 23°C on May 3 amid mainly cloudy conditions, showers, and squally thunderstorms as a cold front from central China crosses southern China, shifting winds from southerly to northerly force 4-5 later in the day. This aligns with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 22.5% implied probability, while nearby 21–24°C options reflect uncertainty in nighttime radiative cooling suppressed by high humidity (70–95%) and cloud cover versus potential post-frontal drying. Global models like GFS show slightly lower lows around 21°C in some runs, but HKO's multi-model consensus favors 23°C given May's typical urban heat island effect and seasonal normal-to-above-normal temperatures; watch for the 16:30 HKT update and May 2 observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,988Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on May 1, projects a lowest temperature of 23°C on May 3 amid mainly cloudy conditions, showers, and squally thunderstorms as a cold front from central China crosses southern China, shifting winds from southerly to northerly force 4-5 later in the day. This aligns with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 22.5% implied probability, while nearby 21–24°C options reflect uncertainty in nighttime radiative cooling suppressed by high humidity (70–95%) and cloud cover versus potential post-frontal drying. Global models like GFS show slightly lower lows around 21°C in some runs, but HKO's multi-model consensus favors 23°C given May's typical urban heat island effect and seasonal normal-to-above-normal temperatures; watch for the 16:30 HKT update and May 2 observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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