Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 8:35 a.m. HKT on May 1, projects a minimum temperature of 22°C for the day amid mainly cloudy conditions, east-northeast winds at force 4 (20-28 km/h), and 70-90% humidity that inhibit radiative cooling. Observations confirm this, with the pre-dawn low already reaching 22.1°C at the Observatory by 9 a.m., aligning with trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. These factors—persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from a moderating northeast monsoon—anchor the positioning, consistent with recent model consensus despite May's climatological average minimum around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected evening clearing and lighter winds allowing a dip to 21°C, though current trajectories make this improbable; monitor hourly updates through dusk for confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 1 de mayo?
22°C 98.8%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
99%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
22°C 98.8%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
16°C o menos
$477 Vol.
1%
17°C
$508 Vol.
1%
18°C
$356 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$425 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,053 Vol.
1%
22°C
$877 Vol.
99%
23°C
$511 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,143 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$678 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$830 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 8:35 a.m. HKT on May 1, projects a minimum temperature of 22°C for the day amid mainly cloudy conditions, east-northeast winds at force 4 (20-28 km/h), and 70-90% humidity that inhibit radiative cooling. Observations confirm this, with the pre-dawn low already reaching 22.1°C at the Observatory by 9 a.m., aligning with trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. These factors—persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from a moderating northeast monsoon—anchor the positioning, consistent with recent model consensus despite May's climatological average minimum around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected evening clearing and lighter winds allowing a dip to 21°C, though current trajectories make this improbable; monitor hourly updates through dusk for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$7,953Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 8:35 a.m. HKT on May 1, projects a minimum temperature of 22°C for the day amid mainly cloudy conditions, east-northeast winds at force 4 (20-28 km/h), and 70-90% humidity that inhibit radiative cooling. Observations confirm this, with the pre-dawn low already reaching 22.1°C at the Observatory by 9 a.m., aligning with trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. These factors—persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from a moderating northeast monsoon—anchor the positioning, consistent with recent model consensus despite May's climatological average minimum around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected evening clearing and lighter winds allowing a dip to 21°C, though current trajectories make this improbable; monitor hourly updates through dusk for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,953Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 8:35 a.m. HKT on May 1, projects a minimum temperature of 22°C for the day amid mainly cloudy conditions, east-northeast winds at force 4 (20-28 km/h), and 70-90% humidity that inhibit radiative cooling. Observations confirm this, with the pre-dawn low already reaching 22.1°C at the Observatory by 9 a.m., aligning with trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. These factors—persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from a moderating northeast monsoon—anchor the positioning, consistent with recent model consensus despite May's climatological average minimum around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpected evening clearing and lighter winds allowing a dip to 21°C, though current trajectories make this improbable; monitor hourly updates through dusk for confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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