Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:50 HKT on May 1, projects a 24°C minimum temperature for May 2 under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and southeast winds at force 3-4, driving trader consensus toward 24°C at 41.5% implied probability. The close contest with 23°C at 35% stems from lingering northeast airflow remnants—evident in May 1's observed lows dipping to 22°C regionally—and potential for partial cloud breaks enabling radiative cooling, tempered by 70-90% humidity and sea surface temperatures near 24°C that limit deeper drops. Climatological May minima average 23-24°C, with model ensembles showing slight divergence; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT and overnight observations will clarify the nocturnal low at the Observatory station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
24°C 45%
23°C 23%
22°C 5%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
24%
24°C
31%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 23%
22°C 5%
25°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
18°C or below
$356 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$331 Vol.
1%
22°C
$52 Vol.
11%
23°C
$51 Vol.
24%
24°C
$104 Vol.
31%
25°C
$324 Vol.
5%
26°C
$60 Vol.
1%
27°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:50 HKT on May 1, projects a 24°C minimum temperature for May 2 under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and southeast winds at force 3-4, driving trader consensus toward 24°C at 41.5% implied probability. The close contest with 23°C at 35% stems from lingering northeast airflow remnants—evident in May 1's observed lows dipping to 22°C regionally—and potential for partial cloud breaks enabling radiative cooling, tempered by 70-90% humidity and sea surface temperatures near 24°C that limit deeper drops. Climatological May minima average 23-24°C, with model ensembles showing slight divergence; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT and overnight observations will clarify the nocturnal low at the Observatory station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,586Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:50 HKT on May 1, projects a 24°C minimum temperature for May 2 under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and southeast winds at force 3-4, driving trader consensus toward 24°C at 41.5% implied probability. The close contest with 23°C at 35% stems from lingering northeast airflow remnants—evident in May 1's observed lows dipping to 22°C regionally—and potential for partial cloud breaks enabling radiative cooling, tempered by 70-90% humidity and sea surface temperatures near 24°C that limit deeper drops. Climatological May minima average 23-24°C, with model ensembles showing slight divergence; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT and overnight observations will clarify the nocturnal low at the Observatory station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,586Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:50 HKT on May 1, projects a 24°C minimum temperature for May 2 under mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and southeast winds at force 3-4, driving trader consensus toward 24°C at 41.5% implied probability. The close contest with 23°C at 35% stems from lingering northeast airflow remnants—evident in May 1's observed lows dipping to 22°C regionally—and potential for partial cloud breaks enabling radiative cooling, tempered by 70-90% humidity and sea surface temperatures near 24°C that limit deeper drops. Climatological May minima average 23-24°C, with model ensembles showing slight divergence; next HKO update at 11:30 HKT and overnight observations will clarify the nocturnal low at the Observatory station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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