MetService's latest forecast, issued May 1, projects a 16°C daytime high in Wellington Central on May 2 under a persistent high pressure ridge delivering fine conditions and light northerlies dying out by evening, slightly above the May seasonal average of 14–15°C. Trader consensus narrowly favors 17°C (49%) over 16°C (40.5%), reflecting uncertainty in northerly air advection potentially boosting afternoon peaks amid emerging El Niño influences favoring warmer temperatures through May–July. Key differentiators include possible late-morning cloud reducing insolation, coastal sea breeze moderation, and subtle forecast model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs; expect a morning update from MetService ahead of resolution based on Wellington Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
17°C 48%
16°C 35%
15°C 8%
18°C 5%
NUEVO
$22,799 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,799 Vol.
2 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
35%
17°C
48%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 48%
16°C 35%
15°C 8%
18°C 5%
NUEVO
$22,799 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,799 Vol.
2 may 2026
10°C or below
$2,061 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,391 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,957 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,653 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,868 Vol.
8%
16°C
$1,823 Vol.
35%
17°C
$1,545 Vol.
48%
18°C
$2,047 Vol.
5%
19°C
$2,769 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,888 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued May 1, projects a 16°C daytime high in Wellington Central on May 2 under a persistent high pressure ridge delivering fine conditions and light northerlies dying out by evening, slightly above the May seasonal average of 14–15°C. Trader consensus narrowly favors 17°C (49%) over 16°C (40.5%), reflecting uncertainty in northerly air advection potentially boosting afternoon peaks amid emerging El Niño influences favoring warmer temperatures through May–July. Key differentiators include possible late-morning cloud reducing insolation, coastal sea breeze moderation, and subtle forecast model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs; expect a morning update from MetService ahead of resolution based on Wellington Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$22,799Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued May 1, projects a 16°C daytime high in Wellington Central on May 2 under a persistent high pressure ridge delivering fine conditions and light northerlies dying out by evening, slightly above the May seasonal average of 14–15°C. Trader consensus narrowly favors 17°C (49%) over 16°C (40.5%), reflecting uncertainty in northerly air advection potentially boosting afternoon peaks amid emerging El Niño influences favoring warmer temperatures through May–July. Key differentiators include possible late-morning cloud reducing insolation, coastal sea breeze moderation, and subtle forecast model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs; expect a morning update from MetService ahead of resolution based on Wellington Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,799Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued May 1, projects a 16°C daytime high in Wellington Central on May 2 under a persistent high pressure ridge delivering fine conditions and light northerlies dying out by evening, slightly above the May seasonal average of 14–15°C. Trader consensus narrowly favors 17°C (49%) over 16°C (40.5%), reflecting uncertainty in northerly air advection potentially boosting afternoon peaks amid emerging El Niño influences favoring warmer temperatures through May–July. Key differentiators include possible late-morning cloud reducing insolation, coastal sea breeze moderation, and subtle forecast model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs; expect a morning update from MetService ahead of resolution based on Wellington Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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