Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport indicates a high of 9°C on May 1 under mostly sunny skies, anchoring trader sentiment with 36.5% implied probability on 10°C and 30% on 9°C, while 11°C holds 19% amid model spread. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing within a cool post-frontal air mass, as global models like GEM and ECMWF ensembles diverge slightly between 8–11°C due to high-pressure ridge positioning over southern Ontario. April's below-normal temperatures (averaging ~9°C highs) and sluggish spring warmup from lingering La Niña influences provide context against May norms of 15°C. Evening model updates and real-time observations will likely sharpen resolution before the diurnal maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 1?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 1?
10°C 37%
9°C 32%
11°C 20%
8°C 10%
NUEVO
$24,605 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,605 Vol.
1 may 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
32%
10°C
37%
11°C
20%
12°C
3%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 37%
9°C 32%
11°C 20%
8°C 10%
NUEVO
$24,605 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,605 Vol.
1 may 2026
4°C or below
$3,795 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,758 Vol.
1%
7°C
$3,258 Vol.
1%
8°C
$2,656 Vol.
10%
9°C
$1,569 Vol.
32%
10°C
$2,343 Vol.
37%
11°C
$1,469 Vol.
20%
12°C
$2,033 Vol.
3%
13°C
$2,414 Vol.
2%
14°C or higher
$3,056 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport indicates a high of 9°C on May 1 under mostly sunny skies, anchoring trader sentiment with 36.5% implied probability on 10°C and 30% on 9°C, while 11°C holds 19% amid model spread. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing within a cool post-frontal air mass, as global models like GEM and ECMWF ensembles diverge slightly between 8–11°C due to high-pressure ridge positioning over southern Ontario. April's below-normal temperatures (averaging ~9°C highs) and sluggish spring warmup from lingering La Niña influences provide context against May norms of 15°C. Evening model updates and real-time observations will likely sharpen resolution before the diurnal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$24,605Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport indicates a high of 9°C on May 1 under mostly sunny skies, anchoring trader sentiment with 36.5% implied probability on 10°C and 30% on 9°C, while 11°C holds 19% amid model spread. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing within a cool post-frontal air mass, as global models like GEM and ECMWF ensembles diverge slightly between 8–11°C due to high-pressure ridge positioning over southern Ontario. April's below-normal temperatures (averaging ~9°C highs) and sluggish spring warmup from lingering La Niña influences provide context against May norms of 15°C. Evening model updates and real-time observations will likely sharpen resolution before the diurnal maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,605Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport indicates a high of 9°C on May 1 under mostly sunny skies, anchoring trader sentiment with 36.5% implied probability on 10°C and 30% on 9°C, while 11°C holds 19% amid model spread. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing within a cool post-frontal air mass, as global models like GEM and ECMWF ensembles diverge slightly between 8–11°C due to high-pressure ridge positioning over southern Ontario. April's below-normal temperatures (averaging ~9°C highs) and sluggish spring warmup from lingering La Niña influences provide context against May norms of 15°C. Evening model updates and real-time observations will likely sharpen resolution before the diurnal maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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