Latest Japan Meteorological Agency-aligned forecasts and global models like those aggregated on AccuWeather and TimeandDate indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3 clustering around 25-26°C, driving the tight market-implied probabilities across 21-26°C outcomes and trader consensus on mild spring warmth. After heavy rain and cooler highs near 20-21°C on May 1 depressed early outlooks, a rebound is expected from southerly winds ushering warmer air masses amid partial clearing on May 2, with overcast skies potentially capping peaks at 24-25°C or allowing 26°C+ if sun breaks through. Historical early May averages hover at 22°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks under ENSO-neutral conditions support the upside. JMA updates at 00Z and 12Z will refine cloud cover and frontal timing uncertainties key to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
23°C 38%
24°C 28%
22°C 22%
25°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
22%
23°C
38%
24°C
28%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 38%
24°C 28%
22°C 22%
25°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
16°C or below
$450 Vol.
1%
17°C
$161 Vol.
1%
18°C
$86 Vol.
1%
19°C
$240 Vol.
1%
20°C
$219 Vol.
1%
21°C
$246 Vol.
2%
22°C
$103 Vol.
22%
23°C
$137 Vol.
38%
24°C
$265 Vol.
28%
25°C
$209 Vol.
9%
26°C or higher
$867 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency-aligned forecasts and global models like those aggregated on AccuWeather and TimeandDate indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3 clustering around 25-26°C, driving the tight market-implied probabilities across 21-26°C outcomes and trader consensus on mild spring warmth. After heavy rain and cooler highs near 20-21°C on May 1 depressed early outlooks, a rebound is expected from southerly winds ushering warmer air masses amid partial clearing on May 2, with overcast skies potentially capping peaks at 24-25°C or allowing 26°C+ if sun breaks through. Historical early May averages hover at 22°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks under ENSO-neutral conditions support the upside. JMA updates at 00Z and 12Z will refine cloud cover and frontal timing uncertainties key to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$2,983Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency-aligned forecasts and global models like those aggregated on AccuWeather and TimeandDate indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3 clustering around 25-26°C, driving the tight market-implied probabilities across 21-26°C outcomes and trader consensus on mild spring warmth. After heavy rain and cooler highs near 20-21°C on May 1 depressed early outlooks, a rebound is expected from southerly winds ushering warmer air masses amid partial clearing on May 2, with overcast skies potentially capping peaks at 24-25°C or allowing 26°C+ if sun breaks through. Historical early May averages hover at 22°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks under ENSO-neutral conditions support the upside. JMA updates at 00Z and 12Z will refine cloud cover and frontal timing uncertainties key to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,983Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency-aligned forecasts and global models like those aggregated on AccuWeather and TimeandDate indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3 clustering around 25-26°C, driving the tight market-implied probabilities across 21-26°C outcomes and trader consensus on mild spring warmth. After heavy rain and cooler highs near 20-21°C on May 1 depressed early outlooks, a rebound is expected from southerly winds ushering warmer air masses amid partial clearing on May 2, with overcast skies potentially capping peaks at 24-25°C or allowing 26°C+ if sun breaks through. Historical early May averages hover at 22°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks under ENSO-neutral conditions support the upside. JMA updates at 00Z and 12Z will refine cloud cover and frontal timing uncertainties key to resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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