Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and ensemble models including ECMWF project Tokyo's highest temperature on May 2 reaching 25-28°C at Haneda Airport, positioning 25°C or higher at 74.5% market-implied probability amid trader consensus on clear skies from a dominant high-pressure ridge. Subsidence warming and gusty westerly winds enhance daytime heating in this warmer-than-average spring pattern, per JMA's April-June outlook showing above-normal temperatures across the Kanto region—2-4°C anomalies over the historical May 2 average of 22°C. Key uncertainties involve boundary layer mixing and possible afternoon clouds; watch JMA's evening update for refined guidance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 2?
25°C or higher 75%
24°C 21%
23°C 5.8%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
$23,290 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,290 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
75%
25°C or higher 75%
24°C 21%
23°C 5.8%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
$23,290 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,290 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
$2,351 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,647 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,059 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,557 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,310 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,447 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,513 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,955 Vol.
6%
24°C
$2,059 Vol.
21%
25°C or higher
$3,193 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and ensemble models including ECMWF project Tokyo's highest temperature on May 2 reaching 25-28°C at Haneda Airport, positioning 25°C or higher at 74.5% market-implied probability amid trader consensus on clear skies from a dominant high-pressure ridge. Subsidence warming and gusty westerly winds enhance daytime heating in this warmer-than-average spring pattern, per JMA's April-June outlook showing above-normal temperatures across the Kanto region—2-4°C anomalies over the historical May 2 average of 22°C. Key uncertainties involve boundary layer mixing and possible afternoon clouds; watch JMA's evening update for refined guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$23,290Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and ensemble models including ECMWF project Tokyo's highest temperature on May 2 reaching 25-28°C at Haneda Airport, positioning 25°C or higher at 74.5% market-implied probability amid trader consensus on clear skies from a dominant high-pressure ridge. Subsidence warming and gusty westerly winds enhance daytime heating in this warmer-than-average spring pattern, per JMA's April-June outlook showing above-normal temperatures across the Kanto region—2-4°C anomalies over the historical May 2 average of 22°C. Key uncertainties involve boundary layer mixing and possible afternoon clouds; watch JMA's evening update for refined guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,290Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and ensemble models including ECMWF project Tokyo's highest temperature on May 2 reaching 25-28°C at Haneda Airport, positioning 25°C or higher at 74.5% market-implied probability amid trader consensus on clear skies from a dominant high-pressure ridge. Subsidence warming and gusty westerly winds enhance daytime heating in this warmer-than-average spring pattern, per JMA's April-June outlook showing above-normal temperatures across the Kanto region—2-4°C anomalies over the historical May 2 average of 22°C. Key uncertainties involve boundary layer mixing and possible afternoon clouds; watch JMA's evening update for refined guidance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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