Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 16°C in Tokyo today, with 100% implied probability, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Current observations at Haneda and central Tokyo stations show morning temperatures hovering around 13–14°C under overcast skies, aligning with model ensembles from JMA and global systems like ECMWF that project limited solar insolation and no significant warming trend through evening. This positioning reflects below-average late-April conditions, cooler than the typical 20–22°C climatology. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset enabling brief solar-driven spikes to 17°C, though hourly guidance and strengthening onshore winds make this unlikely; final resolution awaits JMA's official daily maximum from the Tokyo observatory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 30?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 30?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$222,376 Vol.
$222,376 Vol.
30 abr 2026
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$222,376 Vol.
$222,376 Vol.
30 abr 2026
16°C
$33,535 Vol.
100%
17°C
$32,278 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$27,682 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$18,780 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$14,622 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$16,720 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 16°C in Tokyo today, with 100% implied probability, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Current observations at Haneda and central Tokyo stations show morning temperatures hovering around 13–14°C under overcast skies, aligning with model ensembles from JMA and global systems like ECMWF that project limited solar insolation and no significant warming trend through evening. This positioning reflects below-average late-April conditions, cooler than the typical 20–22°C climatology. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset enabling brief solar-driven spikes to 17°C, though hourly guidance and strengthening onshore winds make this unlikely; final resolution awaits JMA's official daily maximum from the Tokyo observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volumen
$222,376Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 16°C in Tokyo today, with 100% implied probability, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Current observations at Haneda and central Tokyo stations show morning temperatures hovering around 13–14°C under overcast skies, aligning with model ensembles from JMA and global systems like ECMWF that project limited solar insolation and no significant warming trend through evening. This positioning reflects below-average late-April conditions, cooler than the typical 20–22°C climatology. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset enabling brief solar-driven spikes to 17°C, though hourly guidance and strengthening onshore winds make this unlikely; final resolution awaits JMA's official daily maximum from the Tokyo observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$222,376Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 16°C in Tokyo today, with 100% implied probability, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Current observations at Haneda and central Tokyo stations show morning temperatures hovering around 13–14°C under overcast skies, aligning with model ensembles from JMA and global systems like ECMWF that project limited solar insolation and no significant warming trend through evening. This positioning reflects below-average late-April conditions, cooler than the typical 20–22°C climatology. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset enabling brief solar-driven spikes to 17°C, though hourly guidance and strengthening onshore winds make this unlikely; final resolution awaits JMA's official daily maximum from the Tokyo observatory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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