Central Weather Administration forecasts a 30°C high for Taipei on May 2 under partly clear skies, driving trader consensus with 30°C at 30% implied probability, edging out 31°C at 29% amid ensemble model clusters from GFS and ECMWF showing 29–31°C peaks. Tight odds reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and convective showers, which could cap heating below 30°C or allow brief sunbursts to push toward 32°C (17%). Early May climatology averages 28°C highs, but urban heat island amplification and today's projected 30°C—up from recent cloudier 25°C days—support the narrow range. High humidity near 80% will heighten muggy feels, while new model runs and real-time observations today could shift balances before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 2?
31°C 30%
30°C 29%
29°C 21%
32°C 17%
NUEVO
$11,487 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,487 Vol.
2 may 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
29%
31°C
30%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
30°C 29%
29°C 21%
32°C 17%
NUEVO
$11,487 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,487 Vol.
2 may 2026
24°C or below
$665 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,752 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,142 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,954 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,934 Vol.
4%
29°C
$266 Vol.
21%
30°C
$423 Vol.
29%
31°C
$584 Vol.
30%
32°C
$506 Vol.
17%
33°C
$1,010 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$1,253 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration forecasts a 30°C high for Taipei on May 2 under partly clear skies, driving trader consensus with 30°C at 30% implied probability, edging out 31°C at 29% amid ensemble model clusters from GFS and ECMWF showing 29–31°C peaks. Tight odds reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and convective showers, which could cap heating below 30°C or allow brief sunbursts to push toward 32°C (17%). Early May climatology averages 28°C highs, but urban heat island amplification and today's projected 30°C—up from recent cloudier 25°C days—support the narrow range. High humidity near 80% will heighten muggy feels, while new model runs and real-time observations today could shift balances before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$11,487Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration forecasts a 30°C high for Taipei on May 2 under partly clear skies, driving trader consensus with 30°C at 30% implied probability, edging out 31°C at 29% amid ensemble model clusters from GFS and ECMWF showing 29–31°C peaks. Tight odds reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and convective showers, which could cap heating below 30°C or allow brief sunbursts to push toward 32°C (17%). Early May climatology averages 28°C highs, but urban heat island amplification and today's projected 30°C—up from recent cloudier 25°C days—support the narrow range. High humidity near 80% will heighten muggy feels, while new model runs and real-time observations today could shift balances before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,487Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration forecasts a 30°C high for Taipei on May 2 under partly clear skies, driving trader consensus with 30°C at 30% implied probability, edging out 31°C at 29% amid ensemble model clusters from GFS and ECMWF showing 29–31°C peaks. Tight odds reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and convective showers, which could cap heating below 30°C or allow brief sunbursts to push toward 32°C (17%). Early May climatology averages 28°C highs, but urban heat island amplification and today's projected 30°C—up from recent cloudier 25°C days—support the narrow range. High humidity near 80% will heighten muggy feels, while new model runs and real-time observations today could shift balances before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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