Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects a daytime high of 30°C in Taipei on May 2 under partly clear skies with just 10% precipitation odds, fueling the tight trader consensus around 29–31°C implied by market odds, as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models similarly clusters peaks in this range. Today's milder 25°C high amid mostly cloudy conditions highlights the warming trend from reduced cloud cover tomorrow, though uncertainty persists in afternoon convective development and variable insolation, which could cap peaks at 29°C or push to 31°C via enhanced surface heating and urban heat island effects. New model runs and CWA updates overnight will refine resolution risks near official station measurements. Historical early-May averages near 28°C contextualize the modest above-normal outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 2?
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
29°C 21%
32°C 17%
NUEVO
$10,067 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,067 Vol.
2 may 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
30%
31°C
30%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
31°C 30%
29°C 21%
32°C 17%
NUEVO
$10,067 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,067 Vol.
2 may 2026
24°C or below
$665 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,706 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,138 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,419 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,225 Vol.
4%
29°C
$266 Vol.
21%
30°C
$362 Vol.
30%
31°C
$522 Vol.
30%
32°C
$506 Vol.
17%
33°C
$1,005 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$1,253 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects a daytime high of 30°C in Taipei on May 2 under partly clear skies with just 10% precipitation odds, fueling the tight trader consensus around 29–31°C implied by market odds, as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models similarly clusters peaks in this range. Today's milder 25°C high amid mostly cloudy conditions highlights the warming trend from reduced cloud cover tomorrow, though uncertainty persists in afternoon convective development and variable insolation, which could cap peaks at 29°C or push to 31°C via enhanced surface heating and urban heat island effects. New model runs and CWA updates overnight will refine resolution risks near official station measurements. Historical early-May averages near 28°C contextualize the modest above-normal outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$10,067Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects a daytime high of 30°C in Taipei on May 2 under partly clear skies with just 10% precipitation odds, fueling the tight trader consensus around 29–31°C implied by market odds, as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models similarly clusters peaks in this range. Today's milder 25°C high amid mostly cloudy conditions highlights the warming trend from reduced cloud cover tomorrow, though uncertainty persists in afternoon convective development and variable insolation, which could cap peaks at 29°C or push to 31°C via enhanced surface heating and urban heat island effects. New model runs and CWA updates overnight will refine resolution risks near official station measurements. Historical early-May averages near 28°C contextualize the modest above-normal outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,067Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects a daytime high of 30°C in Taipei on May 2 under partly clear skies with just 10% precipitation odds, fueling the tight trader consensus around 29–31°C implied by market odds, as ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models similarly clusters peaks in this range. Today's milder 25°C high amid mostly cloudy conditions highlights the warming trend from reduced cloud cover tomorrow, though uncertainty persists in afternoon convective development and variable insolation, which could cap peaks at 29°C or push to 31°C via enhanced surface heating and urban heat island effects. New model runs and CWA updates overnight will refine resolution risks near official station measurements. Historical early-May averages near 28°C contextualize the modest above-normal outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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