Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on May 3 around 28-29°C amid persistent cloudy skies and isolated showers following recent heavy rain systems. The slight edge for 29°C over 28°C stems from potential afternoon clearing allowing stronger diurnal heating under south-southeasterly monsoon winds, while morning precipitation could suppress peaks via increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Early May climatology averages 28.5°C highs, with sea breeze modulation adding variability; next CMA update this evening may refine guidance ahead of resolution via official hourly observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 3?
29°C 39%
28°C 29%
30°C 22%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
29%
29°C
39%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
28°C 29%
30°C 22%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,841 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$711 Vol.
1%
26°C
$105 Vol.
2%
27°C
$379 Vol.
11%
28°C
$91 Vol.
29%
29°C
$72 Vol.
39%
30°C
$190 Vol.
22%
31°C
$53 Vol.
5%
32°C
$179 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$192 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on May 3 around 28-29°C amid persistent cloudy skies and isolated showers following recent heavy rain systems. The slight edge for 29°C over 28°C stems from potential afternoon clearing allowing stronger diurnal heating under south-southeasterly monsoon winds, while morning precipitation could suppress peaks via increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Early May climatology averages 28.5°C highs, with sea breeze modulation adding variability; next CMA update this evening may refine guidance ahead of resolution via official hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$4,168Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on May 3 around 28-29°C amid persistent cloudy skies and isolated showers following recent heavy rain systems. The slight edge for 29°C over 28°C stems from potential afternoon clearing allowing stronger diurnal heating under south-southeasterly monsoon winds, while morning precipitation could suppress peaks via increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Early May climatology averages 28.5°C highs, with sea breeze modulation adding variability; next CMA update this evening may refine guidance ahead of resolution via official hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,168Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on May 3 around 28-29°C amid persistent cloudy skies and isolated showers following recent heavy rain systems. The slight edge for 29°C over 28°C stems from potential afternoon clearing allowing stronger diurnal heating under south-southeasterly monsoon winds, while morning precipitation could suppress peaks via increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Early May climatology averages 28.5°C highs, with sea breeze modulation adding variability; next CMA update this evening may refine guidance ahead of resolution via official hourly observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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