Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station on April 30, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official intraday observations peaking at 19°C mid-afternoon after a morning high of 17.2°C by 11:30 a.m. Clear conditions and light winds aligned with seasonal norms for late April in Shanghai, where climatological daily highs average 19–20°C under the East Asian monsoon influence, capping further warming as evening cools to around 18°C by 7 p.m. Shanghai Meteorological Observatory data confirms no exceedance, though a rare late-day heat burst or measurement revision could challenge this; final daily report expected soon resolves the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$319,881 Vol.
$319,881 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$319,881 Vol.
$319,881 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Ventana de disputas
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station on April 30, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official intraday observations peaking at 19°C mid-afternoon after a morning high of 17.2°C by 11:30 a.m. Clear conditions and light winds aligned with seasonal norms for late April in Shanghai, where climatological daily highs average 19–20°C under the East Asian monsoon influence, capping further warming as evening cools to around 18°C by 7 p.m. Shanghai Meteorological Observatory data confirms no exceedance, though a rare late-day heat burst or measurement revision could challenge this; final daily report expected soon resolves the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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