National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) today under partly sunny skies with light northerly winds, driving 100% trader consensus for 64°F or higher as the dominant outcome. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence, elevating temperatures 5–10°F above the May 1 climatological average of around 62°F; overnight observations already reached 61°F before dropping to a morning low near 52°F, setting up robust diurnal heating. Model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align on peaks of 68–72°F, with high confidence from current soundings showing dry mid-levels. Realistic challenges include a sudden marine stratus surge or wind shift capping highs below 64°F, though low-level easterlies currently minimize this risk; watch midday satellite imagery and 18Z forecast updates for confirmation ahead of resolution based on KSEA's official daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$36,400 Vol.
$36,400 Vol.
1 may 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
Yes
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$36,400 Vol.
$36,400 Vol.
1 may 2026
45°F or below
$128 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$628 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$422 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$638 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$348 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$653 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$642 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$636 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,766 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$5,383 Vol.
No
64°F or higher
$25,155 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) today under partly sunny skies with light northerly winds, driving 100% trader consensus for 64°F or higher as the dominant outcome. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence, elevating temperatures 5–10°F above the May 1 climatological average of around 62°F; overnight observations already reached 61°F before dropping to a morning low near 52°F, setting up robust diurnal heating. Model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align on peaks of 68–72°F, with high confidence from current soundings showing dry mid-levels. Realistic challenges include a sudden marine stratus surge or wind shift capping highs below 64°F, though low-level easterlies currently minimize this risk; watch midday satellite imagery and 18Z forecast updates for confirmation ahead of resolution based on KSEA's official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$36,400Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) today under partly sunny skies with light northerly winds, driving 100% trader consensus for 64°F or higher as the dominant outcome. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence, elevating temperatures 5–10°F above the May 1 climatological average of around 62°F; overnight observations already reached 61°F before dropping to a morning low near 52°F, setting up robust diurnal heating. Model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align on peaks of 68–72°F, with high confidence from current soundings showing dry mid-levels. Realistic challenges include a sudden marine stratus surge or wind shift capping highs below 64°F, though low-level easterlies currently minimize this risk; watch midday satellite imagery and 18Z forecast updates for confirmation ahead of resolution based on KSEA's official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,400Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) today under partly sunny skies with light northerly winds, driving 100% trader consensus for 64°F or higher as the dominant outcome. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence, elevating temperatures 5–10°F above the May 1 climatological average of around 62°F; overnight observations already reached 61°F before dropping to a morning low near 52°F, setting up robust diurnal heating. Model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align on peaks of 68–72°F, with high confidence from current soundings showing dry mid-levels. Realistic challenges include a sudden marine stratus surge or wind shift capping highs below 64°F, though low-level easterlies currently minimize this risk; watch midday satellite imagery and 18Z forecast updates for confirmation ahead of resolution based on KSEA's official daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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