National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 1 will reach near 70°F, driving the 99% market-implied probability for 64°F or higher, as a persistent upper-level ridge builds over the Pacific Northwest, promoting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating. This consensus across major models like GFS and ECMWF aligns with recent observational data showing clear conditions and above-average temperatures persisting through late April, well above the climatological May 1 average of around 63°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected marine stratus intrusion or overnight cloud development capping highs—current guidance shows low risk, with traders awaiting the morning NWS update for final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
64°F or higher 99.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NUEVO
$23,971 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,971 Vol.
1 may 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
99%
64°F or higher 99.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NUEVO
$23,971 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,971 Vol.
1 may 2026
45°F or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$373 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$270 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$383 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$383 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$398 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$390 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$392 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,701 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$3,370 Vol.
1%
64°F or higher
$17,580 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 1 will reach near 70°F, driving the 99% market-implied probability for 64°F or higher, as a persistent upper-level ridge builds over the Pacific Northwest, promoting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating. This consensus across major models like GFS and ECMWF aligns with recent observational data showing clear conditions and above-average temperatures persisting through late April, well above the climatological May 1 average of around 63°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected marine stratus intrusion or overnight cloud development capping highs—current guidance shows low risk, with traders awaiting the morning NWS update for final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$23,971Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 1 will reach near 70°F, driving the 99% market-implied probability for 64°F or higher, as a persistent upper-level ridge builds over the Pacific Northwest, promoting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating. This consensus across major models like GFS and ECMWF aligns with recent observational data showing clear conditions and above-average temperatures persisting through late April, well above the climatological May 1 average of around 63°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected marine stratus intrusion or overnight cloud development capping highs—current guidance shows low risk, with traders awaiting the morning NWS update for final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,971Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's high temperature on May 1 will reach near 70°F, driving the 99% market-implied probability for 64°F or higher, as a persistent upper-level ridge builds over the Pacific Northwest, promoting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating. This consensus across major models like GFS and ECMWF aligns with recent observational data showing clear conditions and above-average temperatures persisting through late April, well above the climatological May 1 average of around 63°F. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected marine stratus intrusion or overnight cloud development capping highs—current guidance shows low risk, with traders awaiting the morning NWS update for final confirmation ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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