Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 64°F or higher (99.3%) for Seattle's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting mid-60s highs under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, dry conditions and mostly sunny skies. Current model ensembles from NOAA, including GFS and ECMWF runs, align on light northerly winds and ample solar insolation enabling temperatures 5–10°F above the early May climatological average of around 62°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the likely resolution site. Recent observations confirm building heat with April 30 highs near 70°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer intrusion overnight or subtle model shifts toward cooler solutions, though strong ridge forecasts minimize these risks; watch NWS evening updates for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 1?
64°F or higher 99.4%
60-61°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
NUEVO
$39,436 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,436 Vol.
1 may 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
99%
64°F or higher 99.4%
60-61°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
NUEVO
$39,436 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,436 Vol.
1 may 2026
45°F or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$628 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$422 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$653 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$642 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$636 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,265 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$5,274 Vol.
<1%
64°F or higher
$27,511 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 64°F or higher (99.3%) for Seattle's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting mid-60s highs under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, dry conditions and mostly sunny skies. Current model ensembles from NOAA, including GFS and ECMWF runs, align on light northerly winds and ample solar insolation enabling temperatures 5–10°F above the early May climatological average of around 62°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the likely resolution site. Recent observations confirm building heat with April 30 highs near 70°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer intrusion overnight or subtle model shifts toward cooler solutions, though strong ridge forecasts minimize these risks; watch NWS evening updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$39,436Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 64°F or higher (99.3%) for Seattle's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting mid-60s highs under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, dry conditions and mostly sunny skies. Current model ensembles from NOAA, including GFS and ECMWF runs, align on light northerly winds and ample solar insolation enabling temperatures 5–10°F above the early May climatological average of around 62°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the likely resolution site. Recent observations confirm building heat with April 30 highs near 70°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer intrusion overnight or subtle model shifts toward cooler solutions, though strong ridge forecasts minimize these risks; watch NWS evening updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$39,436Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 64°F or higher (99.3%) for Seattle's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting mid-60s highs under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, dry conditions and mostly sunny skies. Current model ensembles from NOAA, including GFS and ECMWF runs, align on light northerly winds and ample solar insolation enabling temperatures 5–10°F above the early May climatological average of around 62°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the likely resolution site. Recent observations confirm building heat with April 30 highs near 70°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer intrusion overnight or subtle model shifts toward cooler solutions, though strong ridge forecasts minimize these risks; watch NWS evening updates for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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