Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for a 31°C high and 31% for 32°C in Panama City, Florida, on May 1, driven by National Weather Service climatology and long-range model guidance showing potential for above-average warmth amid variable Gulf Coast patterns. Late April temperatures recently hit 89-91°F under high pressure, fostering expectations of pattern persistence despite Old Farmer's Almanac outlook for scattered thunderstorms and slightly cooler conditions early May (average high 82°F or 28°C). Ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs up to 89°F, with uncertainty from sea breeze influences and isolated showers. Watch for NOAA's afternoon forecast update refining model consensus on peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
31°C 41%
32°C 31%
30°C 16%
33°C or higher 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
41%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
14%
31°C 41%
32°C 31%
30°C 16%
33°C or higher 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
23°C or below
$849 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$894 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,633 Vol.
1%
29°C
$772 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,116 Vol.
16%
31°C
$330 Vol.
41%
32°C
$650 Vol.
31%
33°C or higher
$837 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for a 31°C high and 31% for 32°C in Panama City, Florida, on May 1, driven by National Weather Service climatology and long-range model guidance showing potential for above-average warmth amid variable Gulf Coast patterns. Late April temperatures recently hit 89-91°F under high pressure, fostering expectations of pattern persistence despite Old Farmer's Almanac outlook for scattered thunderstorms and slightly cooler conditions early May (average high 82°F or 28°C). Ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs up to 89°F, with uncertainty from sea breeze influences and isolated showers. Watch for NOAA's afternoon forecast update refining model consensus on peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$8,755Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for a 31°C high and 31% for 32°C in Panama City, Florida, on May 1, driven by National Weather Service climatology and long-range model guidance showing potential for above-average warmth amid variable Gulf Coast patterns. Late April temperatures recently hit 89-91°F under high pressure, fostering expectations of pattern persistence despite Old Farmer's Almanac outlook for scattered thunderstorms and slightly cooler conditions early May (average high 82°F or 28°C). Ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs up to 89°F, with uncertainty from sea breeze influences and isolated showers. Watch for NOAA's afternoon forecast update refining model consensus on peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,755Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for a 31°C high and 31% for 32°C in Panama City, Florida, on May 1, driven by National Weather Service climatology and long-range model guidance showing potential for above-average warmth amid variable Gulf Coast patterns. Late April temperatures recently hit 89-91°F under high pressure, fostering expectations of pattern persistence despite Old Farmer's Almanac outlook for scattered thunderstorms and slightly cooler conditions early May (average high 82°F or 28°C). Ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project daily highs up to 89°F, with uncertainty from sea breeze influences and isolated showers. Watch for NOAA's afternoon forecast update refining model consensus on peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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