Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for a 31°C high in Panama City today, reflecting seasonal climatology and forecast model agreement for this tropical location. May marks the transition to Panama's wet season, with daily highs consistently around 87°F (31°C) per NOAA historical data and weatherspark analyses, driven by intense solar insolation near the equator, persistent easterly trade winds, and high relative humidity near 80% that sustains warm air masses. Global models like ECMWF and GFS typically project minimal variation early in the month, with rare exceedances above 33°C due to occasional convective showers. No major atmospheric disruptions, such as ENSO extremes, have altered baselines in recent weeks; upcoming hourly observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) station will refine intraday peak as boundary layer heating peaks this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
31°C 39%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
18%
31°C
39%
32°C
27%
33°C or higher
9%
31°C 39%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
23°C or below
$554 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$700 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,219 Vol.
1%
29°C
$640 Vol.
2%
30°C
$685 Vol.
18%
31°C
$193 Vol.
39%
32°C
$393 Vol.
27%
33°C or higher
$591 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for a 31°C high in Panama City today, reflecting seasonal climatology and forecast model agreement for this tropical location. May marks the transition to Panama's wet season, with daily highs consistently around 87°F (31°C) per NOAA historical data and weatherspark analyses, driven by intense solar insolation near the equator, persistent easterly trade winds, and high relative humidity near 80% that sustains warm air masses. Global models like ECMWF and GFS typically project minimal variation early in the month, with rare exceedances above 33°C due to occasional convective showers. No major atmospheric disruptions, such as ENSO extremes, have altered baselines in recent weeks; upcoming hourly observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) station will refine intraday peak as boundary layer heating peaks this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$5,969Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for a 31°C high in Panama City today, reflecting seasonal climatology and forecast model agreement for this tropical location. May marks the transition to Panama's wet season, with daily highs consistently around 87°F (31°C) per NOAA historical data and weatherspark analyses, driven by intense solar insolation near the equator, persistent easterly trade winds, and high relative humidity near 80% that sustains warm air masses. Global models like ECMWF and GFS typically project minimal variation early in the month, with rare exceedances above 33°C due to occasional convective showers. No major atmospheric disruptions, such as ENSO extremes, have altered baselines in recent weeks; upcoming hourly observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) station will refine intraday peak as boundary layer heating peaks this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,969Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39% implied probability for a 31°C high in Panama City today, reflecting seasonal climatology and forecast model agreement for this tropical location. May marks the transition to Panama's wet season, with daily highs consistently around 87°F (31°C) per NOAA historical data and weatherspark analyses, driven by intense solar insolation near the equator, persistent easterly trade winds, and high relative humidity near 80% that sustains warm air masses. Global models like ECMWF and GFS typically project minimal variation early in the month, with rare exceedances above 33°C due to occasional convective showers. No major atmospheric disruptions, such as ENSO extremes, have altered baselines in recent weeks; upcoming hourly observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) station will refine intraday peak as boundary layer heating peaks this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes