Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F (31.5%) and 60-61°F (33.0%) for New York City's Central Park high temperature on May 2, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid post-frontal cooling. The latest National Weather Service guidance calls for sunny conditions with northwest winds around 9 mph and highs near 66°F, but ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF trend slightly cooler due to potential persistent mid-level clouds delaying diurnal heating and gusty winds enhancing mixing of cooler air aloft. Current overcast skies at 60°F underscore the cool bias following recent showers, with historical early-May averages near the mid-60s but Central Park measurements often 2-3°F below deterministic forecasts in similar northwest flow regimes. Evening model updates from NOAA will clarify the peak intensity before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 2 de mayo?
58-59°F 35%
60-61°F 33%
62-63°F 19.5%
56-57°F 11%
NUEVO
$15,739 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,739 Vol.
2 may 2026
51°F o menos
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
33%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F o más
<1%
58-59°F 35%
60-61°F 33%
62-63°F 19.5%
56-57°F 11%
NUEVO
$15,739 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,739 Vol.
2 may 2026
51°F o menos
$4,536 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,971 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$928 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$649 Vol.
11%
58-59°F
$885 Vol.
35%
60-61°F
$840 Vol.
33%
62-63°F
$680 Vol.
20%
64-65°F
$608 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$2,520 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$1,060 Vol.
1%
70°F o más
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F (31.5%) and 60-61°F (33.0%) for New York City's Central Park high temperature on May 2, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid post-frontal cooling. The latest National Weather Service guidance calls for sunny conditions with northwest winds around 9 mph and highs near 66°F, but ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF trend slightly cooler due to potential persistent mid-level clouds delaying diurnal heating and gusty winds enhancing mixing of cooler air aloft. Current overcast skies at 60°F underscore the cool bias following recent showers, with historical early-May averages near the mid-60s but Central Park measurements often 2-3°F below deterministic forecasts in similar northwest flow regimes. Evening model updates from NOAA will clarify the peak intensity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$15,739Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F (31.5%) and 60-61°F (33.0%) for New York City's Central Park high temperature on May 2, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid post-frontal cooling. The latest National Weather Service guidance calls for sunny conditions with northwest winds around 9 mph and highs near 66°F, but ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF trend slightly cooler due to potential persistent mid-level clouds delaying diurnal heating and gusty winds enhancing mixing of cooler air aloft. Current overcast skies at 60°F underscore the cool bias following recent showers, with historical early-May averages near the mid-60s but Central Park measurements often 2-3°F below deterministic forecasts in similar northwest flow regimes. Evening model updates from NOAA will clarify the peak intensity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,739Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F (31.5%) and 60-61°F (33.0%) for New York City's Central Park high temperature on May 2, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid post-frontal cooling. The latest National Weather Service guidance calls for sunny conditions with northwest winds around 9 mph and highs near 66°F, but ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF trend slightly cooler due to potential persistent mid-level clouds delaying diurnal heating and gusty winds enhancing mixing of cooler air aloft. Current overcast skies at 60°F underscore the cool bias following recent showers, with historical early-May averages near the mid-60s but Central Park measurements often 2-3°F below deterministic forecasts in similar northwest flow regimes. Evening model updates from NOAA will clarify the peak intensity before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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