Latest ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and ICON models project Munich's highest temperature on May 2 at 24-26°C under a high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and mild southerly flow, driving the tight market-implied odds with 37% for 26°C or higher, 35.5% for 25°C, and 23.5% for 24°C. This reflects trader consensus on above-normal warmth—well beyond early May climatological averages of 18-20°C—supported by recent model runs showing consistent boundary layer heating. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in afternoon cloud feedback and convective potential, which could shave 1-2°C off peaks, alongside precise timing of solar insolation at the official measurement station. DWD hourly updates later today will clarify peak conditions, typically mid-afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
25°C 38%
26°C or higher 37.5%
24°C 28%
23°C 4%
NUEVO
$22,465 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,465 Vol.
2 may 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
28%
25°C
38%
26°C or higher
38%
25°C 38%
26°C or higher 37.5%
24°C 28%
23°C 4%
NUEVO
$22,465 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,465 Vol.
2 may 2026
16°C or below
$1,505 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$824 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,353 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,938 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,728 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,743 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,340 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,831 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,796 Vol.
28%
25°C
$1,557 Vol.
38%
26°C or higher
$2,056 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and ICON models project Munich's highest temperature on May 2 at 24-26°C under a high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and mild southerly flow, driving the tight market-implied odds with 37% for 26°C or higher, 35.5% for 25°C, and 23.5% for 24°C. This reflects trader consensus on above-normal warmth—well beyond early May climatological averages of 18-20°C—supported by recent model runs showing consistent boundary layer heating. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in afternoon cloud feedback and convective potential, which could shave 1-2°C off peaks, alongside precise timing of solar insolation at the official measurement station. DWD hourly updates later today will clarify peak conditions, typically mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$22,465Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and ICON models project Munich's highest temperature on May 2 at 24-26°C under a high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and mild southerly flow, driving the tight market-implied odds with 37% for 26°C or higher, 35.5% for 25°C, and 23.5% for 24°C. This reflects trader consensus on above-normal warmth—well beyond early May climatological averages of 18-20°C—supported by recent model runs showing consistent boundary layer heating. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in afternoon cloud feedback and convective potential, which could shave 1-2°C off peaks, alongside precise timing of solar insolation at the official measurement station. DWD hourly updates later today will clarify peak conditions, typically mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,465Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and ICON models project Munich's highest temperature on May 2 at 24-26°C under a high-pressure ridge bringing clear skies and mild southerly flow, driving the tight market-implied odds with 37% for 26°C or higher, 35.5% for 25°C, and 23.5% for 24°C. This reflects trader consensus on above-normal warmth—well beyond early May climatological averages of 18-20°C—supported by recent model runs showing consistent boundary layer heating. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in afternoon cloud feedback and convective potential, which could shave 1-2°C off peaks, alongside precise timing of solar insolation at the official measurement station. DWD hourly updates later today will clarify peak conditions, typically mid-afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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