Latest forecast ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge ushering clear skies and mild southerly winds into Munich on May 1, driving trader consensus toward a peak temperature of 20°C (44.5% implied probability) at Munich Airport station. This shift follows April's cooler averages of 13-15°C highs, with recent 48-hour model runs converging on 19-21°C after initial variability, reflecting enhanced solar heating under sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical early-May highs average 17-18°C, with potential for 1-2°C fluctuations from urban heat or timing of peak warmth; final DWD observations and hourly updates will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 1?
20°C 45%
21°C 30%
19°C 21%
18°C 5%
NUEVO
$36,934 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,934 Vol.
1 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
21%
20°C
45%
21°C
30%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 45%
21°C 30%
19°C 21%
18°C 5%
NUEVO
$36,934 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,934 Vol.
1 may 2026
13°C or below
$3,035 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$675 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$713 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,285 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$9,536 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5,170 Vol.
5%
19°C
$3,496 Vol.
21%
20°C
$2,475 Vol.
45%
21°C
$2,352 Vol.
30%
22°C
$1,849 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$2,177 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge ushering clear skies and mild southerly winds into Munich on May 1, driving trader consensus toward a peak temperature of 20°C (44.5% implied probability) at Munich Airport station. This shift follows April's cooler averages of 13-15°C highs, with recent 48-hour model runs converging on 19-21°C after initial variability, reflecting enhanced solar heating under sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical early-May highs average 17-18°C, with potential for 1-2°C fluctuations from urban heat or timing of peak warmth; final DWD observations and hourly updates will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$36,934Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge ushering clear skies and mild southerly winds into Munich on May 1, driving trader consensus toward a peak temperature of 20°C (44.5% implied probability) at Munich Airport station. This shift follows April's cooler averages of 13-15°C highs, with recent 48-hour model runs converging on 19-21°C after initial variability, reflecting enhanced solar heating under sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical early-May highs average 17-18°C, with potential for 1-2°C fluctuations from urban heat or timing of peak warmth; final DWD observations and hourly updates will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,934Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge ushering clear skies and mild southerly winds into Munich on May 1, driving trader consensus toward a peak temperature of 20°C (44.5% implied probability) at Munich Airport station. This shift follows April's cooler averages of 13-15°C highs, with recent 48-hour model runs converging on 19-21°C after initial variability, reflecting enhanced solar heating under sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical early-May highs average 17-18°C, with potential for 1-2°C fluctuations from urban heat or timing of peak warmth; final DWD observations and hourly updates will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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