PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 35°C high for Port Area, Manila, on May 1 amid dominant easterlies and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers, anchoring trader sentiment to a near-tie between 35°C (36.5% implied probability) and 36°C (37.0%). Recent Metro Manila observations—36.7°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 29 and 36.2°C on April 30—highlight persistent heat from high solar insolation and urban heat island effects, fueling bets on a potential afternoon peak push to 36°C despite moderating cloud cover. May climatology averages 33–34°C highs, but dry-season variability and low 10% rain chance create uncertainty; intraday updates from Science Garden, Quezon City station will clarify resolution before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 1 de mayo?
35°C 37%
36°C 31%
37°C 20%
34°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
37%
36°C
31%
37°C
20%
38°C
1%
39°C o más
<1%
35°C 37%
36°C 31%
37°C 20%
34°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
29°C o menos
$301 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$612 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$452 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,538 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,829 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,036 Vol.
5%
35°C
$480 Vol.
37%
36°C
$430 Vol.
31%
37°C
$793 Vol.
20%
38°C
$425 Vol.
1%
39°C o más
$344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 35°C high for Port Area, Manila, on May 1 amid dominant easterlies and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers, anchoring trader sentiment to a near-tie between 35°C (36.5% implied probability) and 36°C (37.0%). Recent Metro Manila observations—36.7°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 29 and 36.2°C on April 30—highlight persistent heat from high solar insolation and urban heat island effects, fueling bets on a potential afternoon peak push to 36°C despite moderating cloud cover. May climatology averages 33–34°C highs, but dry-season variability and low 10% rain chance create uncertainty; intraday updates from Science Garden, Quezon City station will clarify resolution before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$7,763Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 35°C high for Port Area, Manila, on May 1 amid dominant easterlies and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers, anchoring trader sentiment to a near-tie between 35°C (36.5% implied probability) and 36°C (37.0%). Recent Metro Manila observations—36.7°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 29 and 36.2°C on April 30—highlight persistent heat from high solar insolation and urban heat island effects, fueling bets on a potential afternoon peak push to 36°C despite moderating cloud cover. May climatology averages 33–34°C highs, but dry-season variability and low 10% rain chance create uncertainty; intraday updates from Science Garden, Quezon City station will clarify resolution before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,763Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 35°C high for Port Area, Manila, on May 1 amid dominant easterlies and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers, anchoring trader sentiment to a near-tie between 35°C (36.5% implied probability) and 36°C (37.0%). Recent Metro Manila observations—36.7°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 29 and 36.2°C on April 30—highlight persistent heat from high solar insolation and urban heat island effects, fueling bets on a potential afternoon peak push to 36°C despite moderating cloud cover. May climatology averages 33–34°C highs, but dry-season variability and low 10% rain chance create uncertainty; intraday updates from Science Garden, Quezon City station will clarify resolution before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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