PAGASA's extended forecast projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers from easterlies and just a 10% rain chance, driving trader sentiment toward 35°C (31.5%) and 36°C (29.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations, including 36.7°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 29 and 34.4°C so far today, highlight potential for urban heat island effects and slight model upside in dry conditions, differentiating these from lower bids like 37°C (19.5%). Climatological May norms hover near 33–34°C, but low cloud cover favors peaks; resolution hinges on official PAGASA Quezon City station readings, with final advisories expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 1 de mayo?
35°C 35%
36°C 34%
37°C 20%
34°C 4.0%
NUEVO
$15,250 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,250 Vol.
1 may 2026
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
35%
36°C
34%
37°C
20%
38°C
2%
39°C o más
<1%
35°C 35%
36°C 34%
37°C 20%
34°C 4.0%
NUEVO
$15,250 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,250 Vol.
1 may 2026
29°C o menos
$470 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,927 Vol.
1%
33°C
$3,553 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,082 Vol.
4%
35°C
$880 Vol.
35%
36°C
$702 Vol.
34%
37°C
$1,309 Vol.
20%
38°C
$623 Vol.
2%
39°C o más
$844 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's extended forecast projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers from easterlies and just a 10% rain chance, driving trader sentiment toward 35°C (31.5%) and 36°C (29.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations, including 36.7°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 29 and 34.4°C so far today, highlight potential for urban heat island effects and slight model upside in dry conditions, differentiating these from lower bids like 37°C (19.5%). Climatological May norms hover near 33–34°C, but low cloud cover favors peaks; resolution hinges on official PAGASA Quezon City station readings, with final advisories expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$15,250Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's extended forecast projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers from easterlies and just a 10% rain chance, driving trader sentiment toward 35°C (31.5%) and 36°C (29.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations, including 36.7°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 29 and 34.4°C so far today, highlight potential for urban heat island effects and slight model upside in dry conditions, differentiating these from lower bids like 37°C (19.5%). Climatological May norms hover near 33–34°C, but low cloud cover favors peaks; resolution hinges on official PAGASA Quezon City station readings, with final advisories expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,250Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's extended forecast projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers from easterlies and just a 10% rain chance, driving trader sentiment toward 35°C (31.5%) and 36°C (29.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations, including 36.7°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 29 and 34.4°C so far today, highlight potential for urban heat island effects and slight model upside in dry conditions, differentiating these from lower bids like 37°C (19.5%). Climatological May norms hover near 33–34°C, but low cloud cover favors peaks; resolution hinges on official PAGASA Quezon City station readings, with final advisories expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes