Trader consensus favors 34°C (32.5% implied probability) slightly over 33°C (26.5%) for Lagos' highest temperature on May 1, reflecting NiMet's latest guidance amid the tropical monsoon onset, where sea breezes and low-level humidity typically yield daily peaks of 31–34°C. Recent April highs averaging 33°C, punctuated by a 35°C outlier earlier this month, signal persistent heat under partly cloudy skies, but increasing convective activity—forecast as isolated thunderstorms—could cap intensities via cloud cover and brief showers. Historical May 1 averages hover near 32°C, with model ensembles diverging on sunshine duration and overnight moisture recovery; a final NiMet bulletin today may refine this narrow spread before airport station observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lagos el 1 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lagos el 1 de mayo?
34°C 33%
33°C 28%
35°C 18%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
28°C o menos
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
10%
33°C
28%
34°C
33%
35°C
18%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C o más
1%
34°C 33%
33°C 28%
35°C 18%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
28°C o menos
$2,104 Vol.
3%
29°C
$509 Vol.
2%
30°C
$236 Vol.
4%
31°C
$344 Vol.
9%
32°C
$592 Vol.
10%
33°C
$568 Vol.
28%
34°C
$287 Vol.
33%
35°C
$174 Vol.
18%
36°C
$685 Vol.
5%
37°C
$593 Vol.
2%
38°C o más
$2,129 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 34°C (32.5% implied probability) slightly over 33°C (26.5%) for Lagos' highest temperature on May 1, reflecting NiMet's latest guidance amid the tropical monsoon onset, where sea breezes and low-level humidity typically yield daily peaks of 31–34°C. Recent April highs averaging 33°C, punctuated by a 35°C outlier earlier this month, signal persistent heat under partly cloudy skies, but increasing convective activity—forecast as isolated thunderstorms—could cap intensities via cloud cover and brief showers. Historical May 1 averages hover near 32°C, with model ensembles diverging on sunshine duration and overnight moisture recovery; a final NiMet bulletin today may refine this narrow spread before airport station observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$8,221Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 34°C (32.5% implied probability) slightly over 33°C (26.5%) for Lagos' highest temperature on May 1, reflecting NiMet's latest guidance amid the tropical monsoon onset, where sea breezes and low-level humidity typically yield daily peaks of 31–34°C. Recent April highs averaging 33°C, punctuated by a 35°C outlier earlier this month, signal persistent heat under partly cloudy skies, but increasing convective activity—forecast as isolated thunderstorms—could cap intensities via cloud cover and brief showers. Historical May 1 averages hover near 32°C, with model ensembles diverging on sunshine duration and overnight moisture recovery; a final NiMet bulletin today may refine this narrow spread before airport station observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,221Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 34°C (32.5% implied probability) slightly over 33°C (26.5%) for Lagos' highest temperature on May 1, reflecting NiMet's latest guidance amid the tropical monsoon onset, where sea breezes and low-level humidity typically yield daily peaks of 31–34°C. Recent April highs averaging 33°C, punctuated by a 35°C outlier earlier this month, signal persistent heat under partly cloudy skies, but increasing convective activity—forecast as isolated thunderstorms—could cap intensities via cloud cover and brief showers. Historical May 1 averages hover near 32°C, with model ensembles diverging on sunshine duration and overnight moisture recovery; a final NiMet bulletin today may refine this narrow spread before airport station observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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