Hong Kong Observatory observations show air temperatures reaching 24°C by early afternoon on April 30, 2026, under moderate east-northeasterly winds and mainly cloudy conditions with low rain probability, positioning the daily high to comfortably exceed 25°C as forecast in the latest 9-day outlook updated at 16:30 HKT. This trader consensus reflects seasonal climatology, where late-April highs average 26–27°C amid the transition from spring to the hot season, bolstered by minimal cloud interference and no active warnings. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cool front or persistent showers capping solar heating, though current model consensus deems this improbable; monitor hourly bulletins for final confirmation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 30?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$303,931 Vol.
$303,931 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
100%
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$303,931 Vol.
$303,931 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations show air temperatures reaching 24°C by early afternoon on April 30, 2026, under moderate east-northeasterly winds and mainly cloudy conditions with low rain probability, positioning the daily high to comfortably exceed 25°C as forecast in the latest 9-day outlook updated at 16:30 HKT. This trader consensus reflects seasonal climatology, where late-April highs average 26–27°C amid the transition from spring to the hot season, bolstered by minimal cloud interference and no active warnings. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cool front or persistent showers capping solar heating, though current model consensus deems this improbable; monitor hourly bulletins for final confirmation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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