Current meteorological model consensus, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projects a maximum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on May 4, anchoring trader sentiment at 50% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects anticipated persistent cloud cover and scattered showers during the early East Asian summer monsoon onset, which historically suppresses daytime highs below the 28-29°C monthly average by limiting solar insolation amid 80-90% humidity. Recent surface observations through May 1 have logged mid-20s°C peaks under similar overcast conditions, with lower outcomes unlikely barring an intensified front. Watch for CMA's daily forecast refresh on May 3, as short-range uncertainty remains ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 4?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 4?
25°C 23%
26°C 22%
28°C 17%
24°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
23%
26°C
22%
27°C
11%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
4%
25°C 23%
26°C 22%
28°C 17%
24°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$26 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$52 Vol.
5%
24°C
$33 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$12 Vol.
11%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological model consensus, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projects a maximum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on May 4, anchoring trader sentiment at 50% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects anticipated persistent cloud cover and scattered showers during the early East Asian summer monsoon onset, which historically suppresses daytime highs below the 28-29°C monthly average by limiting solar insolation amid 80-90% humidity. Recent surface observations through May 1 have logged mid-20s°C peaks under similar overcast conditions, with lower outcomes unlikely barring an intensified front. Watch for CMA's daily forecast refresh on May 3, as short-range uncertainty remains ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$127Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological model consensus, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projects a maximum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on May 4, anchoring trader sentiment at 50% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects anticipated persistent cloud cover and scattered showers during the early East Asian summer monsoon onset, which historically suppresses daytime highs below the 28-29°C monthly average by limiting solar insolation amid 80-90% humidity. Recent surface observations through May 1 have logged mid-20s°C peaks under similar overcast conditions, with lower outcomes unlikely barring an intensified front. Watch for CMA's daily forecast refresh on May 3, as short-range uncertainty remains ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$127Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological model consensus, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, projects a maximum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on May 4, anchoring trader sentiment at 50% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects anticipated persistent cloud cover and scattered showers during the early East Asian summer monsoon onset, which historically suppresses daytime highs below the 28-29°C monthly average by limiting solar insolation amid 80-90% humidity. Recent surface observations through May 1 have logged mid-20s°C peaks under similar overcast conditions, with lower outcomes unlikely barring an intensified front. Watch for CMA's daily forecast refresh on May 3, as short-range uncertainty remains ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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