National Weather Service forecasts for Denver indicate a high temperature near 62°F on May 2 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers, driving the 99.4% market-implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong consensus across forecast models, bolstered by an upper-level ridge promoting a warming trend above the May normal of 65°F, following drier conditions earlier in the week. Trader sentiment aligns with observational data from recent days showing stable high pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or a stalled weak disturbance increasing precipitation, though model agreement suggests minimal risk of temperatures dipping below 56°F before evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 2?
56°F or higher 99.3%
42-43°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
NUEVO
$105,768 Vol.
NUEVO
$105,768 Vol.
2 may 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
99%
56°F or higher 99.3%
42-43°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
NUEVO
$105,768 Vol.
NUEVO
$105,768 Vol.
2 may 2026
37°F or below
$8,166 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$10,928 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$4,213 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$6,805 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$2,585 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$6,265 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$6,983 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$9,434 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$7,950 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$11,914 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$30,526 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver indicate a high temperature near 62°F on May 2 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers, driving the 99.4% market-implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong consensus across forecast models, bolstered by an upper-level ridge promoting a warming trend above the May normal of 65°F, following drier conditions earlier in the week. Trader sentiment aligns with observational data from recent days showing stable high pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or a stalled weak disturbance increasing precipitation, though model agreement suggests minimal risk of temperatures dipping below 56°F before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$105,768Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver indicate a high temperature near 62°F on May 2 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers, driving the 99.4% market-implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong consensus across forecast models, bolstered by an upper-level ridge promoting a warming trend above the May normal of 65°F, following drier conditions earlier in the week. Trader sentiment aligns with observational data from recent days showing stable high pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or a stalled weak disturbance increasing precipitation, though model agreement suggests minimal risk of temperatures dipping below 56°F before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$105,768Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Denver indicate a high temperature near 62°F on May 2 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers, driving the 99.4% market-implied probability for 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong consensus across forecast models, bolstered by an upper-level ridge promoting a warming trend above the May normal of 65°F, following drier conditions earlier in the week. Trader sentiment aligns with observational data from recent days showing stable high pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or a stalled weak disturbance increasing precipitation, though model agreement suggests minimal risk of temperatures dipping below 56°F before evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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