National Weather Service forecasts indicate Denver's highest temperature on May 1 near 60°F under partly sunny conditions with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, anchoring trader sentiment at 70% implied probability for 58°F or higher. Recent overnight model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports upper 50s to low 60s amid a departing low-pressure system from mid-April snow events across Colorado, transitioning to lighter winds and partial clearing. This positions 56-57°F as the next likely outcome at 25%, hedging against increased cloud cover or convective activity capping highs. Compared to the 65°F climatological normal, spring variability persists; watch for 12z model runs and NWS updates today, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 1?
58°F or higher 68.7%
56-57°F 25%
54-55°F 3.5%
52-53°F 1.8%
$40,980 Vol.
$40,980 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
25%
58°F or higher
69%
58°F or higher 68.7%
56-57°F 25%
54-55°F 3.5%
52-53°F 1.8%
$40,980 Vol.
$40,980 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
25%
58°F or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate Denver's highest temperature on May 1 near 60°F under partly sunny conditions with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, anchoring trader sentiment at 70% implied probability for 58°F or higher. Recent overnight model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports upper 50s to low 60s amid a departing low-pressure system from mid-April snow events across Colorado, transitioning to lighter winds and partial clearing. This positions 56-57°F as the next likely outcome at 25%, hedging against increased cloud cover or convective activity capping highs. Compared to the 65°F climatological normal, spring variability persists; watch for 12z model runs and NWS updates today, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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